Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Missouri St
UTRGV
|
76
C
|
Overall |
80
B-
|
|
79
C+
|
Power |
84
B
|
|
76
C
6099
|
Offensive |
81
B-
6099
|
|
Missouri St
6099
UTRGV
6099
|
||
|
80
B-
6099
|
Defensive |
85
B
6099
|
|
Missouri St
6099
UTRGV
6099
|
||
|
83
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
72
C-
|
|
83
B-
|
SoS (Future) |
72
C-
|
Missouri St
UTRGV
| 220 | Overall | 178 |
| 188 | Power | 140 |
| 213 | Offensive | 166 |
| 174 | Defensive | 136 |
| 154 | SoS (Current) | 250 |
| 154 | SoS (Future) | 250 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: UTRGV 52%, Missouri St 48% at Missouri St.
UTRGV's win probability against Missouri St has held at 52% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
UTRGV's win probability against Missouri St has held at 62% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
UTRGV's win probability against Missouri St has held at 71% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Missouri St | Neutral | At UTRGV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 21% | 28% | 37% |
| Wk 1 | 48% | 58% | 68% |
| Wk 2 | 67% | 76% | 83% |
| Wk 3 | 46% | 56% | 66% |
| Wk 4 | 68% | 76% | 83% |
| Wk 5 | 70% | 78% | 85% |
| Wk 6 | 67% | 75% | 82% |
| Wk 7 | 67% | 76% | 83% |
| Wk 8 | 69% | 77% | 84% |
| Wk 9 | 67% | 75% | 82% |
| Wk 10 | 43% | 53% | 63% |
| Wk 11 | 38% | 48% | 58% |
| Wk 12 | 42% | 52% | 62% |
| Wk 13 | 42% | 52% | 62% |
| Wk 14 | 45% | 55% | 65% |
| Wk 15 | 48% | 58% | 68% |
| Wk 16 | 52% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 17 | 54% | 64% | 73% |
| Wk 18 | 53% | 63% | 72% |
| Wk 19 | 52% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 20 | 52% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 21 | 52% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 22 | 52% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 23 | 52% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 24 | 52% | 62% | 71% |
Missouri St
UTRGV
|
1-0 (100%) |
Head to Head |
0-1 (0%) |
|
13-18 (41.9%) |
Overall |
17-14 (54.8%) |
|
8-7 (53.3%) |
Home |
8-5 (61.5%) |
|
3-10 (23.1%) |
Away |
8-8 (50%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
4-13 (23.5%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
2-7 (22.2%) |
|
9-5 (64.3%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
15-7 (68.2%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Missouri St
UTRGV
| #81 Liberty | Best Win | #68 McNeese St |
| #268 Delaware | Worst Loss | #318 Northwestern LA |
| 24 pts vs #260 UTEP | Largest MOV | 23 pts vs #279 Southern Utah |
| 24 pts vs #46 Tulsa | Largest MOD | 20 pts vs #53 Boise St |
Missouri St
UTRGV
| 73.1 | Points per Game | 73.7 |
| 74.3 | Points Against | 70.6 |
| 75.1 | Home PPG | 67.3 |
| 73.7 | Home PA | 64.6 |
| 70.8 | Away PPG | 77.8 |
| 76.1 | Away PA | 74.8 |
| 481-463 | Opponent Record | 454-499 |
| 177.1 | Avg Opponent Rank | 216.1 |
| L 7 | Longest Streak | W 8 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Missouri St
UTRGV
| Mar 13 | Louisiana Tech (17-14) | L66-69 | Mar 10 | McNeese St (26-6) | L80-84 |
| Mar 11 | Liberty (23-8) | W77-69 | Mar 9 | Nicholls St (13-19) | W86-68 |
| Mar 10 | Florida Intl (12-17) | W75-72 | Mar 2 | vs Northwestern LA (8-22) | W74-62 |
| Mar 7 | vs MTSU (14-15) | L63-75 | Feb 28 | vs East Texas A&M (9-21) | W63-55 |
| Mar 5 | vs WKU (16-14) | W87-74 | Feb 23 | at McNeese St (26-6) | L68-75 |
| Feb 28 | at Sam Houston St (19-12) | L81-86 | Feb 21 | at SE Louisiana (8-22) | W96-75 |
| Feb 26 | at Louisiana Tech (17-14) | L70-72 | Feb 16 | vs Lamar (10-19) | W70-65 |
| Feb 21 | at Florida Intl (12-17) | L67-70 | Feb 14 | vs SF Austin (26-6) | L57-66 |
| Feb 18 | vs Kennesaw (18-14) | L87-91 | Feb 9 | at Nicholls St (13-19) | W92-72 |
| Feb 14 | vs Delaware (10-20) | L67-76 | Feb 7 | at New Orleans (15-18) | W95-76 |
vs
College Basketball