Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Michigan 52%, Illinois 48% at Michigan.
Michigan's win probability against Illinois is trending down — from 62% to 37% over the last 6 updates.
Michigan's win probability against Illinois is trending down — from 69% to 45% over the last 6 updates.
Michigan's win probability against Illinois is trending down — from 75% to 52% over the last 6 updates.