Duke at Michigan St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Duke by 1.95
TOTAL POINTS
142
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Michigan St
Duke 
|
98
A+
|
Overall |
99
A+
|
|
98
A+
|
Power |
99
A+
|
|
95
A
|
Offensive |
96
A
|
|
98
A+
|
Defensive |
99
A+
|
|
99
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
97
A+
|
|
99
A+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
97
A+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Michigan St
Duke
| 9 | Overall | 2 |
| 11 | Power | 3 |
| 37 | Offensive | 29 |
| 8 | Defensive | 2 |
| 4 | SoS (Current) | 22 |
| 4 | SoS (Full Season) | 20 |
Duke#255%
Michigan St#945%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Duke 55%, Michigan St 45% at Michigan St.
Duke's win probability against Michigan St is trending down — from 63% to 55% over the last 6 updates.
Duke's win probability against Michigan St is trending down — from 70% to 62% over the last 6 updates.
Duke's win probability against Michigan St is trending down — from 75% to 68% over the last 6 updates.
Duke favored
Michigan St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Michigan St | Neutral | At Duke |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 60% | 66% | 72% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 61% | 68% | 73% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 63% | 70% | 75% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 61% | 67% | 73% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 59% | 65% | 71% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 59% | 65% | 71% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 58% | 65% | 71% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 58% | 65% | 71% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 55% | 62% | 68% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Michigan St
Duke
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
27-8 (77.1%) |
Overall |
35-3 (92.1%) |
|
15-2 (88.2%) |
Home |
15-0 (100%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Away |
10-1 (90.9%) |
|
5-7 (41.7%) |
Versus Top 25 |
9-3 (75%) |
|
17-7 (70.8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
26-3 (89.7%) |
|
10-1 (90.9%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
9-0 (100%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
9-1 (90%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Michigan St
Duke
| #5 Purdue | Best Win | #1 Michigan |
| #93 Minnesota | Worst Loss | #23 North Carolina |
| 43 pts vs #108 Maryland | Largest MOV | 58 pts vs #340 Niagara |
| 21 pts vs #22 Wisconsin | Largest MOD | 3 pts vs #23 North Carolina |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Michigan St
Duke
| 78.8 | Points per Game | 81.6 |
| 68.3 | Points Against | 63.6 |
| 80.7 | Home PPG | 85.3 |
| 66.5 | Home PA | 60.5 |
| 74.5 | Away PPG | 82.6 |
| 72 | Away PA | 62.5 |
| 727-468 | Opponent Record | 792-488 |
| 80.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 85.7 |
| W 8 | Longest Streak | W 14 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Michigan St
Duke
| Mar 27 | #4 Connecticut (34-6) | L63-67 | Mar 29 | #4 Connecticut (34-6) | L72-73 |
| Mar 21 | Louisville (24-11) | W77-69 | Mar 27 | #7 St John's (30-7) | W80-75 |
| Mar 19 | N Dakota St (24-8) | W92-67 | Mar 21 | TCU (23-12) | W81-58 |
| Mar 13 | #24 UCLA (24-12) | L84-88 | Mar 19 | Siena (23-12) | W71-65 |
| Mar 8 | at #1 Michigan (37-3) | L80-90 | Mar 14 | #13 Virginia (30-6) | W74-70 |
| Mar 5 | vs Rutgers (14-20) | W91-87 | Mar 13 | Clemson (24-11) | W73-61 |
| Mar 1 | at Indiana (18-14) | W77-64 | Mar 12 | Florida St (18-15) | W80-79 |
| Feb 26 | at #5 Purdue (30-9) | W76-74 | Mar 7 | vs #23 North Carolina (24-9) | W76-61 |
| Feb 22 | vs Ohio St (21-13) | W66-60 | Mar 2 | at NC State (20-14) | W93-64 |
| Feb 17 | vs #24 UCLA (24-12) | W82-59 | Feb 28 | vs #13 Virginia (30-6) | W77-51 |