Sam Houston St at MTSU Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
MTSU by 0.36
TOTAL POINTS
155
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
MTSU
Sam Houston St 
|
83
B-
|
Overall |
87
B+
|
|
84
B
|
Power |
87
B+
|
|
83
B-
|
Offensive |
90
A-
|
|
83
B-
|
Defensive |
77
C+
|
|
85
B
|
SoS (Current) |
86
B
|
|
85
B
|
SoS (Full Season) |
86
B
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
MTSU
Sam Houston St
| 150 | Overall | 115 |
| 144 | Power | 114 |
| 150 | Offensive | 83 |
| 154 | Defensive | 209 |
| 133 | SoS (Current) | 123 |
| 135 | SoS (Full Season) | 124 |
MTSU#15051%
Sam Houston St#11549%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: MTSU 51%, Sam Houston St 49% at MTSU.
MTSU's win probability against Sam Houston St is trending up — from 35% to 38% over the last 6 updates.
MTSU's win probability against Sam Houston St has held at 44% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
MTSU's win probability against Sam Houston St is trending up — from 48% to 51% over the last 6 updates.
MTSU favored
Sam Houston St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Sam Houston St | Neutral | At MTSU |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 34% | 41% | 47% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 32% | 38% | 45% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 35% | 42% | 48% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 35% | 41% | 48% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 36% | 42% | 49% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 36% | 42% | 49% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 36% | 42% | 49% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 36% | 42% | 49% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 38% | 44% | 51% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
MTSU
Sam Houston St
|
1-1 (50%) |
Head to Head |
1-1 (50%) |
|
14-15 (48.3%) |
Overall |
19-12 (61.3%) |
|
8-4 (66.7%) |
Home |
10-1 (90.9%) |
|
5-8 (38.5%) |
Away |
6-10 (37.5%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
6-11 (35.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
7-8 (46.7%) |
|
8-4 (66.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-4 (75%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
MTSU
Sam Houston St
| #110 UAB | Best Win | #103 Wyoming |
| #268 Delaware | Worst Loss | #268 Delaware |
| 37 pts vs #164 Louisiana Tech | Largest MOV | 33 pts vs #217 Florida Intl |
| 25 pts vs #1 Michigan | Largest MOD | 24 pts vs #52 New Mexico |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
MTSU
Sam Houston St
| 73.5 | Points per Game | 80 |
| 74.6 | Points Against | 76.9 |
| 75.2 | Home PPG | 80.8 |
| 72.3 | Home PA | 71.5 |
| 71.5 | Away PPG | 79.4 |
| 74.2 | Away PA | 81.8 |
| 484-417 | Opponent Record | 472-484 |
| 163.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 171.3 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | W 7 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
MTSU
Sam Houston St
| Mar 12 | Louisiana Tech (17-14) | L69-80 | Mar 18 | at New Mexico (25-12) | L83-107 |
| Mar 7 | at Missouri St (13-18) | W75-63 | Mar 13 | Kennesaw (18-14) | L73-79 |
| Mar 5 | at Florida Intl (12-17) | W73-67 | Mar 11 | New Mexico St (13-16) | W69-61 |
| Feb 28 | vs New Mexico St (13-16) | W86-85 | Mar 7 | at Liberty (23-8) | L72-79 |
| Feb 26 | vs UTEP (8-20) | W77-67 | Mar 5 | at Delaware (10-20) | L80-83 |
| Feb 21 | vs Delaware (10-20) | W78-66 | Feb 28 | vs Missouri St (13-18) | W86-81 |
| Feb 18 | at Sam Houston St (19-12) | L70-78 | Feb 26 | vs Florida Intl (12-17) | W100-67 |
| Feb 14 | at WKU (16-14) | L80-82 | Feb 21 | vs Jacksonville St (12-17) | W82-78 |
| Feb 12 | at Kennesaw (18-14) | W90-87 | Feb 18 | vs MTSU (14-15) | W78-70 |
| Feb 7 | at Delaware (10-20) | L88-89 | Feb 14 | at Kennesaw (18-14) | W83-79 |