Missouri St at MTSU Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
MTSU by 5.57
TOTAL POINTS
147
UPDATED
Tuesday, April 7, 2026
RATINGS
Missouri St
MTSU 
|
76
C
|
Overall |
82
B-
|
|
79
C+
|
Power |
83
B-
|
|
76
C
|
Offensive |
81
B-
|
|
80
B-
|
Defensive |
82
B-
|
|
83
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
85
B
|
|
83
B-
|
SoS (Future) |
85
B
|
RANKINGS
Missouri St
MTSU
| 220 | Overall | 157 |
| 188 | Power | 151 |
| 213 | Offensive | 170 |
| 174 | Defensive | 158 |
| 154 | SoS (Current) | 128 |
| 154 | SoS (Future) | 128 |
MTSU#15768%
Missouri St#22032%Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: MTSU 68%, Missouri St 32% at MTSU.
MTSU's win probability against Missouri St is trending down — from 53% to 49% over the last 6 weeks.
MTSU's win probability against Missouri St is trending down — from 63% to 59% over the last 6 weeks.
MTSU's win probability against Missouri St is trending down — from 72% to 68% over the last 6 weeks.
MTSU favored
Missouri St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | At Missouri St | Neutral | At MTSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 34% | 44% | 54% |
| Wk 1 | 34% | 44% | 54% |
| Wk 2 | 58% | 67% | 76% |
| Wk 3 | 56% | 66% | 74% |
| Wk 4 | 85% | 90% | 94% |
| Wk 5 | 89% | 93% | 95% |
| Wk 6 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 7 | 83% | 89% | 92% |
| Wk 8 | 81% | 87% | 91% |
| Wk 9 | 80% | 86% | 91% |
| Wk 10 | 77% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 11 | 67% | 75% | 83% |
| Wk 12 | 65% | 74% | 81% |
| Wk 13 | 57% | 66% | 75% |
| Wk 14 | 53% | 63% | 72% |
| Wk 15 | 49% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 16 | 51% | 61% | 70% |
| Wk 17 | 52% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 18 | 53% | 63% | 72% |
| Wk 19 | 52% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 20 | 49% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 21 | 49% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 22 | 49% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 23 | 49% | 59% | 68% |
| Wk 24 | 49% | 59% | 68% |
RECORDS
Missouri St
MTSU
|
0-2 (0%) |
Head to Head |
2-0 (100%) |
|
13-18 (41.9%) |
Overall |
14-15 (48.3%) |
|
8-7 (53.3%) |
Home |
8-4 (66.7%) |
|
3-10 (23.1%) |
Away |
5-8 (38.5%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
4-13 (23.5%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
6-11 (35.3%) |
|
9-5 (64.3%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
8-4 (66.7%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
SUPERLATIVES
Missouri St
MTSU
| #81 Liberty | Best Win | #110 UAB |
| #268 Delaware | Worst Loss | #268 Delaware |
| 24 pts vs #260 UTEP | Largest MOV | 37 pts vs #164 Louisiana Tech |
| 24 pts vs #46 Tulsa | Largest MOD | 25 pts vs #1 Michigan |
OTHER STATISTICS
Missouri St
MTSU
| 73.1 | Points per Game | 73.5 |
| 74.3 | Points Against | 74.6 |
| 75.1 | Home PPG | 75.2 |
| 73.7 | Home PA | 72.3 |
| 70.8 | Away PPG | 71.5 |
| 76.1 | Away PA | 74.2 |
| 481-463 | Opponent Record | 484-417 |
| 177.1 | Avg Opponent Rank | 163.3 |
| L 7 | Longest Streak | L 5 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Missouri St
MTSU
| Mar 13 | Louisiana Tech (17-14) | L66-69 | Mar 12 | Louisiana Tech (17-14) | L69-80 |
| Mar 11 | Liberty (23-8) | W77-69 | Mar 7 | at Missouri St (13-18) | W75-63 |
| Mar 10 | Florida Intl (12-17) | W75-72 | Mar 5 | at Florida Intl (12-17) | W73-67 |
| Mar 7 | vs MTSU (14-15) | L63-75 | Feb 28 | vs New Mexico St (13-16) | W86-85 |
| Mar 5 | vs WKU (16-14) | W87-74 | Feb 26 | vs UTEP (8-20) | W77-67 |
| Feb 28 | at Sam Houston St (19-12) | L81-86 | Feb 21 | vs Delaware (10-20) | W78-66 |
| Feb 26 | at Louisiana Tech (17-14) | L70-72 | Feb 18 | at Sam Houston St (19-12) | L70-78 |
| Feb 21 | at Florida Intl (12-17) | L67-70 | Feb 14 | at WKU (16-14) | L80-82 |
| Feb 18 | vs Kennesaw (18-14) | L87-91 | Feb 12 | at Kennesaw (18-14) | W90-87 |
| Feb 14 | vs Delaware (10-20) | L67-76 | Feb 7 | at Delaware (10-20) | L88-89 |
