Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
MTSU
Belmont
|
82
B-
|
Overall |
92
A-
|
|
83
B-
|
Power |
90
A-
|
|
81
B-
6099
|
Offensive |
94
A
6099
|
|
MTSU
6099
Belmont
6099
|
||
|
82
B-
6099
|
Defensive |
80
B-
6099
|
|
MTSU
6099
Belmont
6099
|
||
|
85
B
|
SoS (Current) |
81
B-
|
|
85
B
|
SoS (Future) |
81
B-
|
MTSU
Belmont
| 157 | Overall | 70 |
| 151 | Power | 82 |
| 170 | Offensive | 46 |
| 158 | Defensive | 178 |
| 128 | SoS (Current) | 165 |
| 128 | SoS (Future) | 165 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Belmont 68%, MTSU 32% at MTSU.
Belmont's win probability against MTSU is trending down — from 72% to 68% over the last 6 weeks.
Belmont's win probability against MTSU is trending down — from 80% to 76% over the last 6 weeks.
Belmont's win probability against MTSU is trending down — from 86% to 83% over the last 6 weeks.
| Week | At MTSU | Neutral | At Belmont |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 46% | 56% | 66% |
| Wk 1 | 50% | 60% | 69% |
| Wk 2 | 67% | 75% | 83% |
| Wk 3 | 59% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 4 | 53% | 63% | 72% |
| Wk 5 | 58% | 68% | 76% |
| Wk 6 | 43% | 53% | 63% |
| Wk 7 | 58% | 67% | 76% |
| Wk 8 | 62% | 71% | 79% |
| Wk 9 | 61% | 70% | 78% |
| Wk 10 | 45% | 55% | 65% |
| Wk 11 | 52% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 12 | 55% | 64% | 73% |
| Wk 13 | 63% | 72% | 80% |
| Wk 14 | 68% | 76% | 83% |
| Wk 15 | 70% | 78% | 85% |
| Wk 16 | 68% | 76% | 83% |
| Wk 17 | 71% | 79% | 85% |
| Wk 18 | 72% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 19 | 67% | 76% | 83% |
| Wk 20 | 69% | 77% | 84% |
| Wk 21 | 68% | 76% | 83% |
| Wk 22 | 68% | 77% | 83% |
| Wk 23 | 68% | 76% | 83% |
| Wk 24 | 68% | 76% | 83% |
MTSU
Belmont
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
14-15 (48.3%) |
Overall |
25-6 (80.6%) |
|
8-4 (66.7%) |
Home |
12-2 (85.7%) |
|
5-8 (38.5%) |
Away |
11-3 (78.6%) |
|
0-2 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
6-11 (35.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
15-2 (88.2%) |
|
8-4 (66.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
10-4 (71.4%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
MTSU
Belmont
| #110 UAB | Best Win | #94 Illinois St |
| #268 Delaware | Worst Loss | #265 Indiana St |
| 37 pts vs #164 Louisiana Tech | Largest MOV | 37 pts vs #356 St Francis PA |
| 25 pts vs #1 Michigan | Largest MOD | 21 pts vs #226 Drake |
MTSU
Belmont
| 73.5 | Points per Game | 83.5 |
| 74.6 | Points Against | 74.1 |
| 75.2 | Home PPG | 85.6 |
| 72.3 | Home PA | 75.9 |
| 71.5 | Away PPG | 80.6 |
| 74.2 | Away PA | 71.9 |
| 484-417 | Opponent Record | 468-519 |
| 163.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 183.3 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | W 9 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
MTSU
Belmont
| Mar 12 | Louisiana Tech (17-14) | L69-80 | Mar 6 | Drake (12-20) | L79-100 |
| Mar 7 | at Missouri St (13-18) | W75-63 | Mar 1 | at Illinois St (22-13) | L74-81 |
| Mar 5 | at Florida Intl (12-17) | W73-67 | Feb 25 | vs Evansville (5-25) | W98-64 |
| Feb 28 | vs New Mexico St (13-16) | W86-85 | Feb 21 | vs Indiana St (9-21) | W87-70 |
| Feb 26 | vs UTEP (8-20) | W77-67 | Feb 15 | at Murray St (20-13) | W87-70 |
| Feb 21 | vs Delaware (10-20) | W78-66 | Feb 12 | vs Northern Iowa (22-13) | W91-86 |
| Feb 18 | at Sam Houston St (19-12) | L70-78 | Feb 9 | at Bradley (20-13) | L84-95 |
| Feb 14 | at WKU (16-14) | L80-82 | Feb 6 | at IL Chicago (17-16) | W68-62 |
| Feb 12 | at Kennesaw (18-14) | W90-87 | Feb 3 | vs Drake (12-20) | W103-90 |
| Feb 7 | at Delaware (10-20) | L88-89 | Jan 31 | vs Murray St (20-13) | W103-86 |
vs
College Basketball