Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Louisiana Tech
MTSU
|
82
B-
|
Overall |
82
B-
|
|
78
C+
|
Power |
83
B-
|
|
65
D
6099
|
Offensive |
81
B-
6099
|
|
Louisiana Tech
6099
MTSU
6099
|
||
|
92
A-
6099
|
Defensive |
82
B-
6099
|
|
Louisiana Tech
6099
MTSU
6099
|
||
|
79
C+
|
SoS (Current) |
85
B
|
|
79
C+
|
SoS (Future) |
85
B
|
Louisiana Tech
MTSU
| 164 | Overall | 157 |
| 196 | Power | 151 |
| 318 | Offensive | 170 |
| 70 | Defensive | 158 |
| 189 | SoS (Current) | 128 |
| 189 | SoS (Future) | 128 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: MTSU 51%, Louisiana Tech 49% at Louisiana Tech.
MTSU's win probability against Louisiana Tech is trending down — from 58% to 51% over the last 6 weeks.
MTSU's win probability against Louisiana Tech is trending down — from 68% to 60% over the last 6 weeks.
MTSU's win probability against Louisiana Tech is trending down — from 76% to 70% over the last 6 weeks.
| Week | At Louisiana Tech | Neutral | At MTSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 36% | 45% | 55% |
| Wk 1 | 60% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 2 | 52% | 62% | 71% |
| Wk 3 | 74% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 4 | 81% | 87% | 91% |
| Wk 5 | 85% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 6 | 91% | 94% | 96% |
| Wk 7 | 78% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 8 | 77% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 9 | 78% | 85% | 90% |
| Wk 10 | 86% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 11 | 81% | 87% | 91% |
| Wk 12 | 75% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 13 | 69% | 77% | 84% |
| Wk 14 | 63% | 72% | 80% |
| Wk 15 | 57% | 67% | 75% |
| Wk 16 | 58% | 67% | 76% |
| Wk 17 | 57% | 66% | 75% |
| Wk 18 | 58% | 68% | 76% |
| Wk 19 | 55% | 64% | 73% |
| Wk 20 | 51% | 61% | 70% |
| Wk 21 | 51% | 61% | 70% |
| Wk 22 | 51% | 61% | 70% |
| Wk 23 | 50% | 60% | 70% |
| Wk 24 | 51% | 60% | 70% |
Louisiana Tech
MTSU
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Head to Head |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
17-14 (54.8%) |
Overall |
14-15 (48.3%) |
|
11-3 (78.6%) |
Home |
8-4 (66.7%) |
|
4-10 (28.6%) |
Away |
5-8 (38.5%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-2 (0%) |
|
3-8 (27.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
6-11 (35.3%) |
|
14-6 (70%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
8-4 (66.7%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
Louisiana Tech
MTSU
| #81 Liberty | Best Win | #110 UAB |
| #265 Indiana St | Worst Loss | #268 Delaware |
| 43 pts vs #268 Delaware | Largest MOV | 37 pts vs #164 Louisiana Tech |
| 37 pts vs #157 MTSU | Largest MOD | 25 pts vs #1 Michigan |
Louisiana Tech
MTSU
| 67.8 | Points per Game | 73.5 |
| 67.8 | Points Against | 74.6 |
| 72 | Home PPG | 75.2 |
| 67 | Home PA | 72.3 |
| 63.3 | Away PPG | 71.5 |
| 68.4 | Away PA | 74.2 |
| 442-511 | Opponent Record | 484-417 |
| 194.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 163.3 |
| W 4 | Longest Streak | L 5 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Louisiana Tech
MTSU
| Mar 14 | Kennesaw (18-14) | L60-71 | Mar 12 | Louisiana Tech (17-14) | L69-80 |
| Mar 13 | Missouri St (13-18) | W69-66 | Mar 7 | at Missouri St (13-18) | W75-63 |
| Mar 12 | MTSU (14-15) | W80-69 | Mar 5 | at Florida Intl (12-17) | W73-67 |
| Mar 7 | at Delaware (10-20) | W81-38 | Feb 28 | vs New Mexico St (13-16) | W86-85 |
| Mar 5 | at Liberty (23-8) | W76-71 | Feb 26 | vs UTEP (8-20) | W77-67 |
| Feb 28 | vs Florida Intl (12-17) | L76-84 | Feb 21 | vs Delaware (10-20) | W78-66 |
| Feb 26 | vs Missouri St (13-18) | W72-70 | Feb 18 | at Sam Houston St (19-12) | L70-78 |
| Feb 21 | at Kennesaw (18-14) | L55-58 | Feb 14 | at WKU (16-14) | L80-82 |
| Feb 18 | vs Jacksonville St (12-17) | W77-71 | Feb 12 | at Kennesaw (18-14) | W90-87 |
| Feb 14 | at Florida Intl (12-17) | L64-77 | Feb 7 | at Delaware (10-20) | L88-89 |
vs
College Basketball