Valparaiso at Illinois St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Illinois St by 7.78
TOTAL POINTS
140
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Valparaiso
Illinois St 
|
83
B-
|
Overall |
89
B+
|
|
83
B-
|
Power |
89
B+
|
|
74
C
|
Offensive |
81
B-
|
|
87
B+
|
Defensive |
94
A
|
|
84
B
|
SoS (Current) |
86
B
|
|
84
B
|
SoS (Full Season) |
86
B
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Valparaiso
Illinois St
| 154 | Overall | 98 |
| 155 | Power | 97 |
| 231 | Offensive | 171 |
| 113 | Defensive | 51 |
| 140 | SoS (Current) | 121 |
| 143 | SoS (Full Season) | 119 |
Illinois St#9870%
Valparaiso#15430%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Illinois St 70%, Valparaiso 30% at Illinois St.
Illinois St's win probability against Valparaiso is trending down — from 60% to 57% over the last 6 updates.
Illinois St's win probability against Valparaiso has swung between 64% and 69% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 64% now.
Illinois St's win probability against Valparaiso has swung between 70% and 75% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 70% now.
Illinois St favored
Valparaiso favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Valparaiso | Neutral | At Illinois St |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 60% | 66% | 72% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 60% | 67% | 73% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 60% | 66% | 72% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 60% | 66% | 72% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 61% | 67% | 73% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 63% | 69% | 75% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 61% | 68% | 74% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 61% | 68% | 74% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 57% | 64% | 70% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Valparaiso
Illinois St
|
1-1 (50%) |
Head to Head |
1-1 (50%) |
|
17-15 (53.1%) |
Overall |
22-13 (62.9%) |
|
12-4 (75%) |
Home |
13-2 (86.7%) |
|
4-10 (28.6%) |
Away |
7-7 (50%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
5-10 (33.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
13-9 (59.1%) |
|
12-5 (70.6%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
9-4 (69.2%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Valparaiso
Illinois St
| #94 Illinois St | Best Win | #57 Dayton |
| #357 Southern Indiana | Worst Loss | #296 Evansville |
| 29 pts vs #281 W Michigan | Largest MOV | 52 pts vs #171 Coastal Car |
| 48 pts vs #33 Kentucky | Largest MOD | 27 pts vs #141 IL Chicago |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Valparaiso
Illinois St
| 71.2 | Points per Game | 74.1 |
| 71.9 | Points Against | 69.1 |
| 70.8 | Home PPG | 78.5 |
| 65.6 | Home PA | 61.1 |
| 71.3 | Away PPG | 71.6 |
| 78.5 | Away PA | 74 |
| 489-533 | Opponent Record | 581-546 |
| 180 | Avg Opponent Rank | 159.9 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Valparaiso
Illinois St
| Mar 6 | Bradley (20-13) | L84-90 | Apr 2 | Auburn (22-16) | L66-88 |
| Mar 5 | Indiana St (9-21) | W63-62 | Mar 25 | at Dayton (25-12) | W61-55 |
| Feb 28 | at Evansville (5-25) | L79-80 | Mar 22 | at Wake Forest (18-17) | W78-75 |
| Feb 25 | vs Drake (12-20) | W74-71 | Mar 18 | vs Kent (22-10) | W79-58 |
| Feb 21 | at IL Chicago (17-16) | W71-67 | Mar 6 | Northern Iowa (22-13) | L52-74 |
| Feb 18 | vs Bradley (20-13) | W79-72 | Mar 1 | vs Belmont (25-6) | W81-74 |
| Feb 15 | vs Indiana St (9-21) | W76-75 | Feb 25 | at Northern Iowa (22-13) | W71-69 |
| Feb 12 | at Illinois St (22-13) | L64-86 | Feb 21 | at Bradley (20-13) | L60-74 |
| Feb 9 | at Drake (12-20) | W81-76 | Feb 18 | vs Murray St (20-13) | W78-61 |
| Feb 6 | vs Evansville (5-25) | W70-63 | Feb 15 | at IL Chicago (17-16) | L56-83 |