Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Illinois St 62%, S Illinois 38% at Illinois St.
Illinois St's win probability against S Illinois has swung between 49% and 54% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 49% now.
Illinois St's win probability against S Illinois has swung between 56% and 61% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 56% now.
Illinois St's win probability against S Illinois has swung between 62% and 67% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 62% now.