Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Illinois St 64%, IL Chicago 36% at Illinois St.
Illinois St's win probability against IL Chicago has swung between 48% and 53% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 50% now.
Illinois St's win probability against IL Chicago has swung between 55% and 60% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 57% now.
Illinois St's win probability against IL Chicago is trending up — from 61% to 64% over the last 6 updates.