Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Illinois St
Belmont
|
89
B+
|
Overall |
92
A-
|
|
89
B+
|
Power |
90
A-
|
|
81
B-
6099
|
Offensive |
94
A
6099
|
|
Illinois St
6099
Belmont
6099
|
||
|
94
A
6099
|
Defensive |
80
B-
6099
|
|
Illinois St
6099
Belmont
6099
|
||
|
86
B
|
SoS (Current) |
81
B-
|
|
86
B
|
SoS (Future) |
81
B-
|
Illinois St
Belmont
| 94 | Overall | 70 |
| 97 | Power | 82 |
| 169 | Offensive | 46 |
| 52 | Defensive | 178 |
| 123 | SoS (Current) | 165 |
| 123 | SoS (Future) | 165 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Illinois St 53%, Belmont 47% at Illinois St.
Illinois St's win probability against Belmont is trending up — from 28% to 34% over the last 6 weeks.
Illinois St's win probability against Belmont is trending up — from 37% to 43% over the last 6 weeks.
Illinois St's win probability against Belmont is trending up — from 47% to 53% over the last 6 weeks.
| Week | At Belmont | Neutral | At Illinois St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 43% | 54% | 63% |
| Wk 1 | 28% | 37% | 47% |
| Wk 2 | 53% | 63% | 72% |
| Wk 3 | 35% | 45% | 55% |
| Wk 4 | 40% | 50% | 60% |
| Wk 5 | 34% | 44% | 54% |
| Wk 6 | 39% | 49% | 59% |
| Wk 7 | 38% | 48% | 58% |
| Wk 8 | 38% | 47% | 57% |
| Wk 9 | 38% | 48% | 58% |
| Wk 10 | 47% | 57% | 67% |
| Wk 11 | 38% | 48% | 58% |
| Wk 12 | 41% | 51% | 61% |
| Wk 13 | 37% | 47% | 57% |
| Wk 14 | 38% | 48% | 58% |
| Wk 15 | 37% | 47% | 57% |
| Wk 16 | 38% | 47% | 57% |
| Wk 17 | 30% | 40% | 50% |
| Wk 18 | 28% | 37% | 47% |
| Wk 19 | 31% | 41% | 51% |
| Wk 20 | 32% | 41% | 51% |
| Wk 21 | 33% | 43% | 53% |
| Wk 22 | 35% | 45% | 55% |
| Wk 23 | 34% | 43% | 53% |
| Wk 24 | 34% | 43% | 53% |
Illinois St
Belmont
|
1-1 (50%) |
Head to Head |
1-1 (50%) |
|
22-13 (62.9%) |
Overall |
25-6 (80.6%) |
|
13-2 (86.7%) |
Home |
12-2 (85.7%) |
|
7-7 (50%) |
Away |
11-3 (78.6%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
13-9 (59.1%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
15-2 (88.2%) |
|
9-4 (69.2%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
10-4 (71.4%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
Illinois St
Belmont
| #57 Dayton | Best Win | #94 Illinois St |
| #296 Evansville | Worst Loss | #265 Indiana St |
| 52 pts vs #171 Coastal Car | Largest MOV | 37 pts vs #356 St Francis PA |
| 27 pts vs #141 IL Chicago | Largest MOD | 21 pts vs #226 Drake |
Illinois St
Belmont
| 74.1 | Points per Game | 83.5 |
| 69.1 | Points Against | 74.1 |
| 78.5 | Home PPG | 85.6 |
| 61.1 | Home PA | 75.9 |
| 71.6 | Away PPG | 80.6 |
| 74 | Away PA | 71.9 |
| 581-546 | Opponent Record | 468-519 |
| 159.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 183.3 |
| W 6 | Longest Streak | W 9 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
Illinois St
Belmont
| Apr 2 | Auburn (22-16) | L66-88 | Mar 6 | Drake (12-20) | L79-100 |
| Mar 25 | at Dayton (25-12) | W61-55 | Mar 1 | at Illinois St (22-13) | L74-81 |
| Mar 22 | at Wake Forest (18-17) | W78-75 | Feb 25 | vs Evansville (5-25) | W98-64 |
| Mar 18 | vs Kent (22-10) | W79-58 | Feb 21 | vs Indiana St (9-21) | W87-70 |
| Mar 6 | Northern Iowa (22-13) | L52-74 | Feb 15 | at Murray St (20-13) | W87-70 |
| Mar 1 | vs Belmont (25-6) | W81-74 | Feb 12 | vs Northern Iowa (22-13) | W91-86 |
| Feb 25 | at Northern Iowa (22-13) | W71-69 | Feb 9 | at Bradley (20-13) | L84-95 |
| Feb 21 | at Bradley (20-13) | L60-74 | Feb 6 | at IL Chicago (17-16) | W68-62 |
| Feb 18 | vs Murray St (20-13) | W78-61 | Feb 3 | vs Drake (12-20) | W103-90 |
| Feb 15 | at IL Chicago (17-16) | L56-83 | Jan 31 | vs Murray St (20-13) | W103-86 |
vs
College Basketball