Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: IL Chicago 50%, Illinois St 50% at IL Chicago.
IL Chicago's win probability against Illinois St is trending down — from 39% to 36% over the last 6 updates.
IL Chicago's win probability against Illinois St has swung between 40% and 45% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 43% now.
IL Chicago's win probability against Illinois St has swung between 47% and 52% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 50% now.