Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Hofstra 81%, Vermont 19% at Hofstra.
Hofstra's win probability against Vermont is trending down — from 72% to 69% over the last 6 updates.
Hofstra's win probability against Vermont has swung between 76% and 81% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 76% now.
Hofstra's win probability against Vermont has held at 81% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.