Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: St Louis 65%, G Washington 35% at G Washington.
St Louis' win probability against G Washington has swung between 65% and 70% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 65% now.
St Louis' win probability against G Washington has swung between 71% and 76% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 71% now.
St Louis' win probability against G Washington has held at 77% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.