Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Florida St 64%, Syracuse 36% at Florida St.
Florida St's win probability against Syracuse has held at 49% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Florida St's win probability against Syracuse has swung between 54% and 59% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 56% now.
Florida St's win probability against Syracuse is trending up — from 61% to 64% over the last 6 updates.