North Carolina at Florida St Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
North Carolina by 2.41
TOTAL POINTS
157
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Florida St
North Carolina 
|
92
A-
|
Overall |
97
A+
|
|
93
A-
|
Power |
96
A
|
|
94
A
|
Offensive |
95
A
|
|
87
B+
|
Defensive |
96
A
|
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
98
A+
|
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
98
A+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Florida St
North Carolina
| 63 | Overall | 19 |
| 60 | Power | 25 |
| 44 | Offensive | 36 |
| 116 | Defensive | 33 |
| 53 | SoS (Current) | 12 |
| 53 | SoS (Full Season) | 12 |
North Carolina#1957%
Florida St#6343%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: North Carolina 57%, Florida St 43% at Florida St.
North Carolina's win probability against Florida St is trending down — from 65% to 57% over the last 6 updates.
North Carolina's win probability against Florida St is trending down — from 72% to 64% over the last 6 updates.
North Carolina's win probability against Florida St is trending down — from 78% to 71% over the last 6 updates.
North Carolina favored
Florida St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Florida St | Neutral | At North Carolina |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 66% | 72% | 78% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 67% | 73% | 79% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 65% | 72% | 78% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 61% | 68% | 74% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 62% | 69% | 75% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 62% | 69% | 75% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 61% | 68% | 74% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 61% | 68% | 74% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 57% | 64% | 71% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Florida St
North Carolina
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
18-15 (54.5%) |
Overall |
24-9 (72.7%) |
|
11-6 (64.7%) |
Home |
18-0 (100%) |
|
6-5 (54.5%) |
Away |
4-6 (40%) |
|
0-6 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
3-2 (60%) |
|
9-14 (39.1%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
13-9 (59.1%) |
|
9-1 (90%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
11-0 (100%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Florida St
North Carolina
| #31 Miami FL | Best Win | #3 Duke |
| #197 Massachusetts | Worst Loss | #66 California |
| 47 pts vs #364 MS Valley St | Largest MOV | 48 pts vs #240 East Carolina |
| 44 pts vs #49 NC State | Largest MOD | 24 pts vs #49 NC State |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Florida St
North Carolina
| 80.4 | Points per Game | 79.7 |
| 77.9 | Points Against | 71.6 |
| 83.3 | Home PPG | 83.6 |
| 74.8 | Home PA | 66.4 |
| 76.5 | Away PPG | 75.6 |
| 77.5 | Away PA | 79.2 |
| 638-466 | Opponent Record | 663-437 |
| 112.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 95.5 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | W 7 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 3 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Florida St
North Carolina
| Mar 12 | #3 Duke (35-3) | L79-80 | Mar 19 | VCU (28-8) | L78-82 |
| Mar 11 | California (21-12) | W95-89 | Mar 12 | Clemson (24-11) | L79-80 |
| Mar 7 | vs SMU (20-14) | W91-78 | Mar 7 | at #3 Duke (35-3) | L61-76 |
| Mar 4 | at Pittsburgh (13-20) | W75-74 | Mar 3 | vs Clemson (24-11) | W67-63 |
| Feb 28 | at Georgia Tech (11-20) | W80-71 | Feb 28 | vs Virginia Tech (19-13) | W89-82 |
| Feb 24 | vs Miami FL (26-9) | L73-83 | Feb 23 | vs Louisville (24-11) | W77-74 |
| Feb 21 | at Clemson (24-11) | W70-65 | Feb 21 | at Syracuse (15-17) | W77-64 |
| Feb 17 | vs Boston College (11-20) | W80-72 | Feb 17 | at NC State (20-14) | L58-82 |
| Feb 14 | at Virginia Tech (19-13) | W92-69 | Feb 14 | vs Pittsburgh (13-20) | W79-65 |
| Feb 10 | vs #13 Virginia (30-6) | L58-61 | Feb 10 | at Miami FL (26-9) | L66-75 |