Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Elon
William & Mary
|
73
C-
|
Overall |
83
B-
|
|
74
C
|
Power |
82
B-
|
|
82
B-
6099
|
Offensive |
91
A-
6099
|
|
Elon
6099
William & Mary
6099
|
||
|
67
D+
6099
|
Defensive |
67
D+
6099
|
|
Elon
6099
William & Mary
6099
|
||
|
80
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
76
C
|
|
80
B-
|
SoS (Future) |
76
C
|
Elon
William & Mary
| 245 | Overall | 153 |
| 232 | Power | 157 |
| 159 | Offensive | 80 |
| 300 | Defensive | 299 |
| 182 | SoS (Current) | 215 |
| 182 | SoS (Future) | 215 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: William & Mary 58%, Elon 42% at Elon.
William & Mary's win probability against Elon has held at 58% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
William & Mary's win probability against Elon has held at 68% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
William & Mary's win probability against Elon has held at 76% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Elon | Neutral | At William & Mary |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 38% | 47% | 57% |
| Wk 1 | 41% | 51% | 60% |
| Wk 2 | 42% | 52% | 62% |
| Wk 3 | 69% | 77% | 84% |
| Wk 4 | 70% | 78% | 84% |
| Wk 5 | 71% | 79% | 85% |
| Wk 6 | 69% | 77% | 84% |
| Wk 7 | 67% | 75% | 83% |
| Wk 8 | 57% | 66% | 75% |
| Wk 9 | 58% | 67% | 76% |
| Wk 10 | 57% | 67% | 75% |
| Wk 11 | 46% | 56% | 66% |
| Wk 12 | 47% | 57% | 66% |
| Wk 13 | 56% | 66% | 75% |
| Wk 14 | 51% | 61% | 70% |
| Wk 15 | 54% | 64% | 73% |
| Wk 16 | 57% | 66% | 75% |
| Wk 17 | 59% | 68% | 77% |
| Wk 18 | 59% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 19 | 61% | 70% | 78% |
| Wk 20 | 58% | 68% | 76% |
| Wk 21 | 58% | 68% | 76% |
| Wk 22 | 58% | 68% | 76% |
| Wk 23 | 58% | 68% | 76% |
| Wk 24 | 58% | 68% | 76% |
Elon
William & Mary
|
2-1 (66.7%) |
Head to Head |
1-2 (33.3%) |
|
12-18 (40%) |
Overall |
18-12 (60%) |
|
6-8 (42.9%) |
Home |
9-2 (81.8%) |
|
6-9 (40%) |
Away |
6-9 (40%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
5-15 (25%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
7-6 (53.8%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
11-6 (64.7%) |
|
1-9 (10%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
Elon
William & Mary
| #100 Hofstra | Best Win | #86 UNC Wilmington |
| #325 Northeastern | Worst Loss | #278 Hampton |
| 35 pts vs #183 Appalachian St | Largest MOV | 34 pts vs #238 Abilene Chr |
| 27 pts vs #31 Miami FL | Largest MOD | 33 pts vs #7 St John's |
Elon
William & Mary
| 76.8 | Points per Game | 81.5 |
| 79.3 | Points Against | 78.9 |
| 79.6 | Home PPG | 87.2 |
| 82.8 | Home PA | 79.4 |
| 75.2 | Away PPG | 79.2 |
| 76.5 | Away PA | 81.3 |
| 474-454 | Opponent Record | 445-484 |
| 192 | Avg Opponent Rank | 205.5 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| L 5 | Current Streak | L 1 |
Elon
William & Mary
| Mar 7 | William & Mary (18-12) | L62-72 | Mar 8 | Hofstra (22-11) | L61-92 |
| Mar 3 | vs UNC Wilmington (25-7) | L57-76 | Mar 7 | Elon (12-18) | W72-62 |
| Feb 28 | at Monmouth NJ (18-15) | L57-73 | Mar 3 | vs Hampton (11-19) | W94-85 |
| Feb 26 | at Towson (17-15) | L56-58 | Feb 28 | at NC A&T (9-19) | W91-88 |
| Feb 21 | vs NC A&T (9-19) | L82-102 | Feb 26 | vs Northeastern (7-24) | W84-77 |
| Feb 14 | at William & Mary (18-12) | W81-78 | Feb 19 | at Campbell (14-18) | L83-84 |
| Feb 12 | at UNC Wilmington (25-7) | L54-65 | Feb 14 | vs Elon (12-18) | L78-81 |
| Feb 7 | vs Drexel (16-16) | L77-82 | Feb 12 | at Northeastern (7-24) | W94-67 |
| Feb 5 | at Hampton (11-19) | L79-87 | Feb 7 | at Hampton (11-19) | L74-77 |
| Jan 31 | vs Stony Brook (15-15) | L68-72 | Feb 5 | at UNC Wilmington (25-7) | W85-78 |
vs
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