Virginia at Duke Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Duke by 9.04
TOTAL POINTS
143
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Virginia
Duke 
|
98
A+
|
Overall |
99
A+
|
|
97
A+
|
Power |
99
A+
|
|
95
A
|
Offensive |
96
A
|
|
97
A+
|
Defensive |
99
A+
|
|
92
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
97
A+
|
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
97
A+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Virginia
Duke
| 12 | Overall | 2 |
| 18 | Power | 3 |
| 39 | Offensive | 29 |
| 22 | Defensive | 2 |
| 66 | SoS (Current) | 22 |
| 61 | SoS (Full Season) | 20 |
Duke#273%
Virginia#1227%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Duke 73%, Virginia 27% at Duke.
Duke's win probability against Virginia is trending down — from 70% to 61% over the last 6 updates.
Duke's win probability against Virginia is trending down — from 76% to 67% over the last 6 updates.
Duke's win probability against Virginia is trending down — from 81% to 73% over the last 6 updates.
Duke favored
Virginia favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Virginia | Neutral | At Duke |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 67% | 73% | 78% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 68% | 74% | 79% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 70% | 76% | 81% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 65% | 71% | 76% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 65% | 71% | 77% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 66% | 71% | 77% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 65% | 71% | 76% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 65% | 71% | 76% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 61% | 67% | 73% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Virginia
Duke
|
0-2 (0%) |
Head to Head |
2-0 (100%) |
|
30-6 (83.3%) |
Overall |
35-3 (92.1%) |
|
16-1 (94.1%) |
Home |
15-0 (100%) |
|
8-2 (80%) |
Away |
10-1 (90.9%) |
|
0-4 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
9-3 (75%) |
|
18-6 (75%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
26-3 (89.7%) |
|
12-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
9-0 (100%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
9-1 (90%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Virginia
Duke
| #27 Louisville | Best Win | #1 Michigan |
| #85 Butler | Worst Loss | #23 North Carolina |
| 44 pts vs #274 American Univ | Largest MOV | 58 pts vs #340 Niagara |
| 26 pts vs #3 Duke | Largest MOD | 3 pts vs #23 North Carolina |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Virginia
Duke
| 80.4 | Points per Game | 81.6 |
| 68.8 | Points Against | 63.6 |
| 83.3 | Home PPG | 85.3 |
| 64.1 | Home PA | 60.5 |
| 77.9 | Away PPG | 82.6 |
| 72.9 | Away PA | 62.5 |
| 667-527 | Opponent Record | 792-488 |
| 106.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 85.7 |
| W 9 | Longest Streak | W 14 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Virginia
Duke
| Mar 22 | #19 Tennessee (25-12) | L72-79 | Mar 29 | #4 Connecticut (34-6) | L72-73 |
| Mar 20 | Wright St (21-12) | W82-73 | Mar 27 | #7 St John's (30-7) | W80-75 |
| Mar 14 | #3 Duke (35-3) | L70-74 | Mar 21 | TCU (23-12) | W81-58 |
| Mar 13 | Miami FL (26-9) | W84-62 | Mar 19 | Siena (23-12) | W71-65 |
| Mar 12 | NC State (20-14) | W81-74 | Mar 14 | #13 Virginia (30-6) | W74-70 |
| Mar 7 | vs Virginia Tech (19-13) | W76-72 | Mar 13 | Clemson (24-11) | W73-61 |
| Mar 3 | vs Wake Forest (18-17) | W75-70 | Mar 12 | Florida St (18-15) | W80-79 |
| Feb 28 | at #3 Duke (35-3) | L51-77 | Mar 7 | vs #23 North Carolina (24-9) | W76-61 |
| Feb 24 | vs NC State (20-14) | W90-61 | Mar 2 | at NC State (20-14) | W93-64 |
| Feb 21 | vs Miami FL (26-9) | W86-83 | Feb 28 | vs #13 Virginia (30-6) | W77-51 |