North Carolina at Duke Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Duke by 10.88
TOTAL POINTS
145
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
North Carolina
Duke 
|
97
A+
|
Overall |
99
A+
|
|
96
A
|
Power |
99
A+
|
|
95
A
|
Offensive |
96
A
|
|
96
A
|
Defensive |
99
A+
|
|
98
A+
|
SoS (Current) |
97
A+
|
|
98
A+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
97
A+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
North Carolina
Duke
| 19 | Overall | 2 |
| 25 | Power | 3 |
| 36 | Offensive | 29 |
| 33 | Defensive | 2 |
| 12 | SoS (Current) | 22 |
| 13 | SoS (Full Season) | 20 |
Duke#277%
North Carolina#1923%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Duke 77%, North Carolina 23% at Duke.
Duke's win probability against North Carolina is trending down — from 73% to 65% over the last 6 updates.
Duke's win probability against North Carolina is trending down — from 78% to 71% over the last 6 updates.
Duke's win probability against North Carolina is trending down — from 83% to 77% over the last 6 updates.
Duke favored
North Carolina favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At North Carolina | Neutral | At Duke |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 71% | 76% | 81% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 72% | 77% | 82% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 73% | 78% | 83% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 70% | 76% | 81% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 71% | 76% | 81% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 71% | 76% | 81% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 70% | 76% | 81% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 70% | 76% | 81% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 65% | 71% | 77% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
North Carolina
Duke
|
1-1 (50%) |
Head to Head |
1-1 (50%) |
|
24-9 (72.7%) |
Overall |
35-3 (92.1%) |
|
18-0 (100%) |
Home |
15-0 (100%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Away |
10-1 (90.9%) |
|
3-2 (60%) |
Versus Top 25 |
9-3 (75%) |
|
13-9 (59.1%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
26-3 (89.7%) |
|
11-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
9-0 (100%) |
|
5-5 (50%) |
Last 10 Games |
9-1 (90%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
North Carolina
Duke
| #3 Duke | Best Win | #1 Michigan |
| #66 California | Worst Loss | #23 North Carolina |
| 48 pts vs #240 East Carolina | Largest MOV | 58 pts vs #340 Niagara |
| 24 pts vs #49 NC State | Largest MOD | 3 pts vs #23 North Carolina |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
North Carolina
Duke
| 79.7 | Points per Game | 81.6 |
| 71.6 | Points Against | 63.6 |
| 83.6 | Home PPG | 85.3 |
| 66.4 | Home PA | 60.5 |
| 75.6 | Away PPG | 82.6 |
| 79.2 | Away PA | 62.5 |
| 663-437 | Opponent Record | 792-488 |
| 95.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 85.7 |
| W 7 | Longest Streak | W 14 |
| L 3 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
North Carolina
Duke
| Mar 19 | VCU (28-8) | L78-82 | Mar 29 | #4 Connecticut (34-6) | L72-73 |
| Mar 12 | Clemson (24-11) | L79-80 | Mar 27 | #7 St John's (30-7) | W80-75 |
| Mar 7 | at #3 Duke (35-3) | L61-76 | Mar 21 | TCU (23-12) | W81-58 |
| Mar 3 | vs Clemson (24-11) | W67-63 | Mar 19 | Siena (23-12) | W71-65 |
| Feb 28 | vs Virginia Tech (19-13) | W89-82 | Mar 14 | #13 Virginia (30-6) | W74-70 |
| Feb 23 | vs Louisville (24-11) | W77-74 | Mar 13 | Clemson (24-11) | W73-61 |
| Feb 21 | at Syracuse (15-17) | W77-64 | Mar 12 | Florida St (18-15) | W80-79 |
| Feb 17 | at NC State (20-14) | L58-82 | Mar 7 | vs #23 North Carolina (24-9) | W76-61 |
| Feb 14 | vs Pittsburgh (13-20) | W79-65 | Mar 2 | at NC State (20-14) | W93-64 |
| Feb 10 | at Miami FL (26-9) | L66-75 | Feb 28 | vs #13 Virginia (30-6) | W77-51 |