NC State at Duke Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Duke by 12.34
TOTAL POINTS
151
UPDATED
Tuesday, October 27, 2026
See this week's CBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
NC State
Duke 
|
94
A
|
Overall |
99
A+
|
|
95
A
|
Power |
99
A+
|
|
97
A+
|
Offensive |
96
A
|
|
89
B+
|
Defensive |
99
A+
|
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Current) |
97
A+
|
|
93
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
97
A+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
NC State
Duke
| 50 | Overall | 2 |
| 34 | Power | 3 |
| 17 | Offensive | 29 |
| 90 | Defensive | 2 |
| 61 | SoS (Current) | 22 |
| 61 | SoS (Full Season) | 22 |
Duke#282%
NC State#5018%Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Duke 82%, NC State 18% at Duke.
Duke's win probability against NC State is trending down — from 81% to 71% over the last 6 updates.
Duke's win probability against NC State is trending down — from 85% to 77% over the last 6 updates.
Duke's win probability against NC State is trending down — from 89% to 82% over the last 6 updates.
Duke favored
NC State favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At NC State | Neutral | At Duke |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 72% | 78% | 83% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 78% | 83% | 87% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 81% | 85% | 89% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 78% | 83% | 87% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 77% | 83% | 87% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 77% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 77% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 77% | 82% | 87% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 71% | 77% | 82% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
NC State
Duke
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
20-14 (58.8%) |
Overall |
35-3 (92.1%) |
|
11-6 (64.7%) |
Home |
15-0 (100%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Away |
10-1 (90.9%) |
|
1-5 (16.7%) |
Versus Top 25 |
9-3 (75%) |
|
11-12 (47.8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
26-3 (89.7%) |
|
9-2 (81.8%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
9-0 (100%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
9-1 (90%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
NC State
Duke
| #23 North Carolina | Best Win | #1 Michigan |
| #176 Georgia Tech | Worst Loss | #23 North Carolina |
| 48 pts vs #335 NC Central | Largest MOV | 58 pts vs #340 Niagara |
| 41 pts vs #27 Louisville | Largest MOD | 3 pts vs #23 North Carolina |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
NC State
Duke
| 83.2 | Points per Game | 81.6 |
| 76.3 | Points Against | 63.6 |
| 84 | Home PPG | 85.3 |
| 70.6 | Home PA | 60.5 |
| 83.4 | Away PPG | 82.6 |
| 83.6 | Away PA | 62.5 |
| 668-465 | Opponent Record | 792-488 |
| 88.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 85.7 |
| W 6 | Longest Streak | W 14 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
NC State
Duke
| Mar 17 | Texas (20-15) | L66-68 | Mar 29 | #4 Connecticut (34-6) | L72-73 |
| Mar 12 | #13 Virginia (30-6) | L74-81 | Mar 27 | #7 St John's (30-7) | W80-75 |
| Mar 11 | Pittsburgh (13-20) | W98-88 | Mar 21 | TCU (23-12) | W81-58 |
| Mar 7 | vs Stanford (20-13) | L84-85 | Mar 19 | Siena (23-12) | W71-65 |
| Mar 2 | vs #3 Duke (35-3) | L64-93 | Mar 14 | #13 Virginia (30-6) | W74-70 |
| Feb 28 | at Notre Dame (13-18) | L90-96 | Mar 13 | Clemson (24-11) | W73-61 |
| Feb 24 | at #13 Virginia (30-6) | L61-90 | Mar 12 | Florida St (18-15) | W80-79 |
| Feb 17 | vs #23 North Carolina (24-9) | W82-58 | Mar 7 | vs #23 North Carolina (24-9) | W76-61 |
| Feb 14 | vs Miami FL (26-9) | L76-77 | Mar 2 | at NC State (20-14) | W93-64 |
| Feb 9 | at Louisville (24-11) | L77-118 | Feb 28 | vs #13 Virginia (30-6) | W77-51 |