Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 27), 2026-27: Florida 56%, Alabama 44% at Alabama.
Florida's win probability against Alabama has swung between 52% and 58% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 56% now.
Florida's win probability against Alabama is trending down — from 66% to 63% over the last 6 updates.
Florida's win probability against Alabama has swung between 67% and 72% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 70% now.