Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Robert Morris 50%, Toledo 50% at Robert Morris.
Robert Morris' win probability against Toledo has held at 32% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Robert Morris' win probability against Toledo has held at 41% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Robert Morris' win probability against Toledo is trending down — from 53% to 50% over the last 6 weeks.