Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Robert Morris 60%, Oakland 40% at Robert Morris.
Robert Morris' win probability against Oakland has held at 41% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Robert Morris' win probability against Oakland has held at 50% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Robert Morris' win probability against Oakland has held at 60% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.