Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Robert Morris 73%, IUPUI 27% at IUPUI.
Robert Morris' win probability against IUPUI has held at 73% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Robert Morris' win probability against IUPUI has held at 81% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Robert Morris' win probability against IUPUI has held at 86% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.