Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
Mansfield
Ball St
|
62
D-
|
Overall |
68
D+
|
|
61
D-
|
Power |
69
D+
|
|
72
C-
6099
|
Offensive |
61
D-
6099
|
|
Mansfield
6099
Ball St
6099
|
||
|
60
D-
6099
|
Defensive |
88
B+
6099
|
|
Mansfield
6099
Ball St
6099
|
||
|
87
B+
|
SoS (Current) |
67
D+
|
|
87
B+
|
SoS (Future) |
67
D+
|
MansfieldD2
Ball StD1
| 277 #883 overall |
Overall | 289 #418 overall |
| 290 #797 overall |
Power | 278 #288 overall |
| 204 #609 overall |
Offensive | 352 #544 overall |
| 292 #932 overall |
Defensive | 107 #108 overall |
| 95 #461 overall |
SoS (Current) | 298 #299 overall |
| 95 #461 overall |
SoS (Future) | 298 #299 overall |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Ball St 99%, Mansfield 1% at Ball St.
Ball St's win probability against Mansfield has held at 98% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Ball St's win probability against Mansfield has held at 98% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Ball St's win probability against Mansfield has held at 99% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At Mansfield | Neutral | At Ball St |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 1 | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 2 | 99% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 3 | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 4 | 97% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 5 | 95% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 6 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 7 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 13 | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 14 | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 15 | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 17 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 18 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 19 | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 20 | 98% | 99% | 99% |
| Wk 21 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 22 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 23 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
| Wk 24 | 98% | 98% | 99% |
Mansfield
Ball St
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
3-24 (11.1%) |
Overall |
12-19 (38.7%) |
|
2-9 (18.2%) |
Home |
7-7 (50%) |
|
1-11 (8.3%) |
Away |
4-11 (26.7%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Versus Own Division Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
0-16 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
1-11 (8.3%) |
|
3-8 (27.3%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
11-8 (57.9%) |
|
3-7 (30%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
Mansfield
Ball St
| #871 Kutztown | Best Win | #241 Massachusetts |
| #874 Bloomsburg | Worst Loss | #546 Lafayette |
| 27 pts vs #871 Kutztown | Largest MOV | 63 pts vs #1034 Earlham |
| 50 pts vs #342 Charleston WV | Largest MOD | 31 pts vs #22 Wisconsin |
Mansfield
Ball St
| 71.8 | Points per Game | 67.5 |
| 90.5 | Points Against | 69.5 |
| 75.9 | Home PPG | 70.4 |
| 90.6 | Home PA | 66.1 |
| 70.3 | Away PPG | 62.5 |
| 88.8 | Away PA | 70.9 |
| 421-353 | Opponent Record | 430-540 |
| 489.1 | Avg Opponent Rank | 359.5 |
| L 18 | Longest Streak | L 5 |
| W 1 | Current Streak | W 4 |
Mansfield
Ball St
| Feb 28 | vs Kutztown (4-20) | W106-79 | Mar 6 | vs C Michigan (10-21) | W85-69 |
| Feb 21 | at Shippensburg (13-15) | L72-96 | Mar 3 | at W Michigan (9-21) | W74-71 |
| Feb 18 | vs Bloomsburg (4-22) | W72-68 | Feb 28 | at N Illinois (8-21) | W79-43 |
| Feb 14 | vs Shepherd (20-10) | L72-86 | Feb 24 | vs Massachusetts (17-16) | W74-73 |
| Feb 11 | at E Stroudsburg (21-9) | L88-106 | Feb 20 | vs Akron (28-6) | L65-78 |
| Feb 7 | at Millersville (20-9) | L64-80 | Feb 17 | at Ohio (14-17) | L57-69 |
| Feb 4 | vs Lock Haven (8-19) | L86-103 | Feb 14 | vs Kent (23-10) | L68-75 |
| Jan 31 | at West Chester (21-8) | L66-91 | Feb 11 | vs Buffalo (17-15) | L53-63 |
| Jan 29 | at Kutztown (4-20) | W66-60 | Feb 7 | at ULM (2-28) | W73-68 |
| Jan 24 | vs Shippensburg (13-15) | L77-97 | Feb 3 | at Bowling Green (16-14) | L52-77 |
College Basketball