Lindsey Wilson vs St Thomas FL prediction | Mid-South Conference Game of the Week | Versus Sports Simulator
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NAIA · Mid-South Conference Non-conference

St Thomas FL edges Lindsey Wilson in a matchup of unbeaten, mismatched schedules

Lindsey Wilson#11 NAIA · 3-0Away
Projected29-31St Thomas FL 55% chance to win
St Thomas FL#10 NAIA · 3-0Home

The biggest gap between these two unbeaten NAIA teams is not on the field, it is in who they have played. Lindsey Wilson carries a strength of schedule rank of 90 out of 96 teams in the division, while St Thomas FL sits at 56, a considerable difference for two 3-0 clubs carrying identical A grades overall.

That contrast matters because everything else here is close. Lindsey Wilson is 10th in NAIA offense and 13th in defense, with an A grade across the board, and the Blue Raiders arrive off a 61-12 win over Rio Grande that was their most lopsided result since October 2025. St Thomas FL counters with 10th-ranked marks in both offense and defense, and the Bobcats have climbed 12 spots in the Versus NAIA rankings this season, rising from 22nd to 10th.

Versus projects a 31-29 finish in favor of St Thomas FL, with the Bobcats given a 55 percent chance to win at home against Lindsey Wilson's 45 percent. It is a non-conference game, with Lindsey Wilson representing the Mid-South Conference and St Thomas FL the Sun Conference, so nothing in either league's standings is on the line. What is on the line is a two-point margin between two of NAIA's more productive rosters, decided as much by schedule strength as by anything either team has done on the field this year.

Lindsey WilsonSt Thomas FL
Overall
95 A
95 A
Power
95 A
95 A
Offense
96 A
95 A
Defense
94 A
95 A

Graded within NAIA, 96 teams

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