St John's MN's power rank gap over Carleton sets up a lopsided MIAC date

The widest gap in this game is the one between the two teams' power ranks. St John's MN sits 6th in D3, Carleton 196th, a spread of 190 spots that frames everything else about this MIAC meeting. The game counts in the conference standings, but Versus's model sees little drama in it, projecting St John's MN to win 64-0 with a 99 percent win probability.

The Johnnies back up that gap with an A+ grade across the board, including a 5th ranked offense and a 10th ranked defense in D3. At 6-0, they own the best record in all of college football and have posted a winning record for 13 straight seasons, numbers that explain the lopsided projection even with a 99th ranked strength of schedule.

Carleton is not a bad team by its own standards. The Knights are 4-2 and graded B- overall, and both of their losses have come against teams with winning records. But a D power grade, a C- offense and a D defense leave little margin against a team of St John's MN's caliber.

History offers no counterweight either. St John's MN has won all 18 meetings in the series since 2007, including the last 10 in a row, and Carleton has not beaten them since September of that first season.