D3 · Southern Collegiate Athletic ConferenceConference game
Texas Lutheran projected to edge Hendrix in high-scoring SCAC test
Texas Lutheran#7160%
Hendrix#8840%Wk 7 (Oct 11), 2026-27: Texas Lutheran 60%, Hendrix 40% at Texas Lutheran.
Texas Lutheran's win probability against Hendrix has swung between 41% and 61% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 48% now.
Texas Lutheran's win probability against Hendrix has swung between 47% and 67% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 54% now.
Texas Lutheran's win probability against Hendrix has swung between 54% and 72% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 60% now.
Versus projects a tight one, Texas Lutheran 33, Hendrix 29, a four point margin that matches how closely these two sit in the model. Both teams arrive at 4-1, and the Bulldogs hold just a 17 spot edge over the Warriors in the Division III rankings, 71st to 88th.
Texas Lutheran carries the stronger overall grade at B+ to Hendrix's B, and its power rating has climbed in each of the last five weeks, trends that line up with Versus tagging it the highest rated team in the SCAC. Hendrix counters with its own momentum, a 4-1 start that is its best through five games since 2019, having outscored its recent opponents while piling up wins.
The game counts in SCAC standings, and the series offers no tiebreaker either, deadlocked at 2-2 over four meetings since 2017. The most recent matchup went to Texas Lutheran, 50-48, and with both offenses graded in the B range and both defenses at C+, another high scoring finish fits the profile Versus is projecting.
Graded within D3, 234 teams
