Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 7 (Oct 11), 2026-27: Texas Lutheran 60%, Hendrix 40% at Texas Lutheran.
Texas Lutheran's win probability against Hendrix has swung between 41% and 61% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 48% now.
Texas Lutheran's win probability against Hendrix has swung between 47% and 67% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 54% now.
Texas Lutheran's win probability against Hendrix has swung between 54% and 72% over the last 6 weeks, and sits at 60% now.