FBS · Big 12 ConferenceConference game
Central Florida aims to repeat last year's finish over Oklahoma State
Central FloridaAway27
Oklahoma StHome25Central Florida#5554%Oklahoma St#4246%Wk 6 (Oct 4), 2026-27: Central Florida 54%, Oklahoma St 46% at Oklahoma St.
Central Florida's win probability against Oklahoma St has swung between 49% and 68% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 54% now.
Central Florida's win probability against Oklahoma St has swung between 56% and 73% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 60% now.
Central Florida's win probability against Oklahoma St has swung between 62% and 78% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 66% now.
The last time these two met, in November 2025, Central Florida escaped with a 17-14 win, and Versus's model likes the Knights again this week, projecting a 27-25 result and giving Central Florida a 54 percent chance to win. This one counts in the Big 12 Conference standings.
Versus ranks Oklahoma State 42nd in FBS, 13 spots ahead of Central Florida at 55th, but the gap closes everywhere else. Central Florida carries the better power, offense and defense ranks at 24th, 26th and 16th, backed by grades of A-, A- and A, while Oklahoma State grades out a more even B+ across the board. Central Florida has also played a tougher schedule, 44th in strength of schedule against Oklahoma State's 91st.
Both sides arrive playing well. Central Florida has been running over its recent opponents while going 3-2, with both losses coming against winning teams. Oklahoma State has been just as hot across its last four games, highlighted by a season-defining upset of a top-10 FBS team, 32 spots above its own ranking.
Graded within FBS, 138 teams