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Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Wk 6 (Oct 4), 2026-27: Central Florida 54%, Oklahoma St 46% at Oklahoma St.
Central Florida's win probability against Oklahoma St has swung between 49% and 68% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 54% now.
Central Florida's win probability against Oklahoma St has swung between 56% and 73% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 60% now.
Central Florida's win probability against Oklahoma St has swung between 62% and 78% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 66% now.