Records lie: Florida Memorial's ratings outpace its 2-2 mark against Southeastern FL

A 3-0 record and a 2-2 record suggest one of these Sun Conference teams is clearly ahead of the other, but the ratings tell a different story. Southeastern FL's unbeaten start has come against a strength of schedule ranked 89th in NAIA, while Florida Memorial's two losses have both come against teams with winning records, against a schedule ranked 27th. Versus still has Southeastern FL well ahead in the divisional pecking order, 17th to Florida Memorial's 34th, but the gap between an A- overall grade and a B is smaller than the win-loss columns imply.

Southeastern FL brings the better defense of the two, graded A- against Florida Memorial's B-, and an offense graded B+ that ranks 25th in NAIA. Florida Memorial actually owns the sharper offensive grade at A-, though its offense sits just one spot behind at 24th, and its defense at 43rd is the softer unit on the field Saturday.

This is a conference game for the Sun Conference standings, not a non-conference tune-up, and Versus projects it stays close. Southeastern FL is favored 33-28, a 5-point margin, giving it a 62 percent win probability to Florida Memorial's 38. The last meeting between these two, in October 2025, went the other way, with Florida Memorial winning 28-23, and Southeastern FL still holds the all-time series edge at 3-2.