John Carroll's rout of Wittenberg gives it the edge over Washington MO

Both of these North Coast Athletic Conference unbeatens have already crossed paths with Wittenberg this season, and the results tell two different stories. John Carroll ran up a 46 point margin in that game, while Washington MO needed a 7 point win to get past the same opponent. That gap shows up again in Versus's projection for this conference matchup, with John Carroll favored 31-26 and given a 62 percent chance to win.

John Carroll comes in at 4-0 with the best record in the sport, graded A+ across the board and ranked 11th in D3 for power, 12th for offense and 9th for defense. The Blue Streaks reached No. 3 in the Division III rankings this season, their best mark since 2016, though their 142nd ranked schedule is a soft spot in an otherwise complete profile.

Washington MO is also 4-0 and graded A overall, with an A+ offense that ranks 13th in D3. The Bears have been running away from opponents lately, a stretch that has them unbeaten through four games, though their defense sits 32nd, a step behind John Carroll's. Their own strength of schedule ranks 166th.

With both teams unbeaten and playing at similar levels, Versus gives John Carroll a 5 point edge in a game that carries real weight in the conference race.