Hobart's defensive gap over RPI is the widest on the ledger

The starkest number in this Liberty League matchup is on defense, where Hobart sits 40th in Division III and RPI sits 96th, a 56 spot gap that dwarfs every other category between these two. Hobart's A- across the board, including an A- defense, gives it the top Versus rating in the conference, while RPI's B- defense and B- offense trail badly by comparison.

Both sides met Brockport St already this season, and the results point the same direction. Hobart won that game by 13, while RPI lost by 35, and RPI's 10 points in that outing were its fewest since October 2024. Hobart, meanwhile, arrives off a rare stumble, its seven game winning streak snapped in a 29-36 loss to Utica, but the underlying numbers still favor the Statesmen heavily.

Versus projects Hobart to win 32-20, giving the Statesmen a 75 percent chance in this conference game. RPI's offense, ranked 94th in Division III, will need to find answers against a Hobart defense that has been one of the steadiest in the league, or the head to head series, which Hobart already leads 10-8, will tilt further in the visitors' favor.