D2 · Great Midwest Athletic ConferenceConference game
Findlay picked to top higher-ranked Northwood at home
Findlay#1758%
Northwood#1142%Wk 4 (Sep 20), 2026-27: Findlay 58%, Northwood 42% at Findlay.
Findlay's win probability against Northwood has swung between 45% and 52% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 46% now.
Findlay's win probability against Northwood has swung between 51% and 58% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 52% now.
Findlay's win probability against Northwood has swung between 57% and 64% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 58% now.
Versus tabs Findlay as the four-point favorite here even though Northwood sits three spots higher in the Division II rankings, at No. 11 to Findlay's No. 17. The gap comes down to power rank and schedule. Findlay grades out 12th in power to Northwood's 14th, and the home venue tips a projection that would otherwise be a coin flip between two unbeaten Great Midwest clubs.
Both teams arrive at 3-0, but their paths look different. Northwood has climbed 21 spots in the Versus Division II rankings this season, rising from No. 32 to No. 11, its highest placement on record. Findlay has been there before, peaking at No. 8 in Week 2 before settling in at its current mark.
The strength of schedule numbers diverge sharply, with Northwood ranked 78th and Findlay 150th, a reminder that both records were built against different levels of competition within the same division. This is a conference game inside the Great Midwest, and with matching win-loss marks and top-20 overall grades on both sides, Versus projects a tight finish, 27-23 in Findlay's favor.
Graded within D2, 162 teams