Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
UNC Wilmington
William & Mary
|
62
D-
|
Overall |
76
C
|
|
64
D
|
Power |
74
C
|
|
65
D
6099
|
Offensive |
69
D+
6099
|
|
UNC Wilmington
6099
William & Mary
6099
|
||
|
65
D
6099
|
Defensive |
82
B-
6099
|
|
UNC Wilmington
6099
William & Mary
6099
|
||
|
65
D
|
SoS (Current) |
68
D+
|
|
65
D
|
SoS (Future) |
68
D+
|
UNC Wilmington
William & Mary
| 342 | Overall | 210 |
| 324 | Power | 235 |
| 315 | Offensive | 275 |
| 321 | Defensive | 157 |
| 315 | SoS (Current) | 289 |
| 315 | SoS (Future) | 289 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: William & Mary 87%, UNC Wilmington 13% at William & Mary.
William & Mary's win probability against UNC Wilmington has held at 74% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
William & Mary's win probability against UNC Wilmington has held at 81% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
William & Mary's win probability against UNC Wilmington has held at 87% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At UNC Wilmington | Neutral | At William & Mary |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 46% | 56% | 65% |
| Wk 1 | 58% | 67% | 75% |
| Wk 2 | 71% | 78% | 84% |
| Wk 3 | 80% | 86% | 91% |
| Wk 4 | 78% | 84% | 89% |
| Wk 5 | 75% | 81% | 87% |
| Wk 6 | 83% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 7 | 83% | 88% | 92% |
| Wk 8 | 85% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 9 | 87% | 91% | 94% |
| Wk 10 | 85% | 89% | 93% |
| Wk 11 | 79% | 85% | 89% |
| Wk 12 | 75% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 13 | 76% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 14 | 76% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 15 | 76% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 16 | 71% | 78% | 84% |
| Wk 17 | 70% | 77% | 84% |
| Wk 18 | 72% | 79% | 85% |
| Wk 19 | 74% | 81% | 87% |
| Wk 20 | 74% | 81% | 87% |
| Wk 21 | 74% | 81% | 87% |
| Wk 22 | 74% | 81% | 87% |
| Wk 23 | 74% | 81% | 87% |
| Wk 24 | 74% | 81% | 87% |
UNC Wilmington
William & Mary
|
0-2 (0%) |
Head to Head |
2-0 (100%) |
|
6-24 (20%) |
Overall |
16-14 (53.3%) |
|
4-8 (33.3%) |
Home |
4-8 (33.3%) |
|
1-15 (6.3%) |
Away |
10-5 (66.7%) |
|
0-1 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
0-15 (0%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
3-12 (20%) |
|
6-9 (40%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
13-2 (86.7%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
5-5 (50%) |
UNC Wilmington
William & Mary
| #284 NC A&T | Best Win | #165 Stetson |
| #317 Hampton | Worst Loss | #317 Hampton |
| 20 pts vs #360 Presbyterian | Largest MOV | 19 pts vs #342 UNC Wilmington |
| 50 pts vs #15 North Carolina | Largest MOD | 26 pts vs #41 Richmond |
UNC Wilmington
William & Mary
| 58.1 | Points per Game | 60.3 |
| 68.9 | Points Against | 60.6 |
| 57.6 | Home PPG | 62.2 |
| 64.3 | Home PA | 65.4 |
| 58.8 | Away PPG | 58.8 |
| 73.3 | Away PA | 57.7 |
| 428-467 | Opponent Record | 432-477 |
| 229.5 | Avg Opponent Rank | 221.2 |
| L 10 | Longest Streak | W 7 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 1 |
UNC Wilmington
William & Mary
| Mar 12 | Monmouth NJ (18-12) | L61-72 | Mar 13 | Col Charleston (25-6) | L55-58 |
| Mar 11 | Northeastern (7-22) | W51-50 | Mar 12 | NC A&T (8-18) | W61-58 |
| Mar 7 | at Elon (15-16) | L54-66 | Mar 7 | at Hampton (7-21) | W61-60 |
| Mar 5 | at NC A&T (8-18) | L46-55 | Mar 5 | vs Elon (15-16) | W70-59 |
| Mar 1 | vs William & Mary (16-14) | L41-60 | Mar 1 | at UNC Wilmington (6-24) | W60-41 |
| Feb 22 | at Hofstra (10-22) | L43-75 | Feb 27 | at Col Charleston (25-6) | L48-70 |
| Feb 20 | at Stony Brook (15-15) | L55-60 | Feb 22 | vs Drexel (20-11) | L61-63 |
| Feb 15 | vs Campbell (18-12) | L52-54 | Feb 20 | vs Monmouth NJ (18-12) | L58-63 |
| Feb 13 | vs NC A&T (8-18) | W69-64 | Feb 15 | vs Towson (16-14) | W75-70 |
| Feb 6 | at Col Charleston (25-6) | L61-81 | Feb 8 | at Elon (15-16) | L52-75 |
vs
Women's College Basketball