Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: South Carolina 72%, Vanderbilt 28% at Vanderbilt.
South Carolina's win probability against Vanderbilt has swung between 72% and 77% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 72% now.
South Carolina's win probability against Vanderbilt has swung between 77% and 82% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 78% now.
South Carolina's win probability against Vanderbilt has held at 82% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.