Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Vanderbilt 95%, Arkansas 5% at Vanderbilt.
Vanderbilt's win probability against Arkansas has held at 92% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Vanderbilt's win probability against Arkansas has held at 94% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Vanderbilt's win probability against Arkansas has held at 95% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.