Troy at UC Davis Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Troy by 8.22
TOTAL POINTS
148
UPDATED
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
See this week's WCBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
UC Davis
Troy 
|
83
B-
|
Overall |
92
A-
|
|
80
B-
|
Power |
91
A-
|
|
84
B
|
Offensive |
96
A
|
|
74
C
|
Defensive |
75
C
|
|
|
SoS (Current) |
|
|
80
B-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
88
B+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
UC Davis
Troy
| 152 | Overall | 68 |
| 177 | Power | 74 |
| 143 | Offensive | 33 |
| 230 | Defensive | 225 |
| N/A | SoS (Current) | N/A |
| 180 | SoS (Full Season) | 102 |
Troy#6870%
UC Davis#15230%Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Troy 70%, UC Davis 30% at UC Davis.
Troy's win probability against UC Davis has held at 70% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Troy's win probability against UC Davis has held at 76% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Troy's win probability against UC Davis has held at 80% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Troy favored
UC Davis favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At UC Davis | Neutral | At Troy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 72% | 77% | 81% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 71% | 76% | 81% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 72% | 77% | 82% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 71% | 76% | 81% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 71% | 77% | 81% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 72% | 77% | 82% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 73% | 78% | 82% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 73% | 78% | 82% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 70% | 76% | 80% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
UC Davis
Troy
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
21-11 (65.6%) |
Overall |
24-8 (75%) |
|
9-3 (75%) |
Home |
12-1 (92.3%) |
|
9-7 (56.3%) |
Away |
9-6 (60%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
6-11 (35.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
12-6 (66.7%) |
|
15-0 (100%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-2 (85.7%) |
|
6-4 (60%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
UC Davis
Troy
| #80 Idaho | Best Win | #59 Marshall |
| #172 UC Santa Barbara | Worst Loss | #194 Southern Miss |
| 26 pts vs #352 Cal Poly | Largest MOV | 45 pts vs #336 MS Valley St |
| 31 pts vs #108 UC Irvine | Largest MOD | 22 pts vs #57 Kansas St |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
UC Davis
Troy
| 68.3 | Points per Game | 79.8 |
| 66.2 | Points Against | 70.1 |
| 68.5 | Home PPG | 82.2 |
| 63.1 | Home PA | 63.5 |
| 66.6 | Away PPG | 78.1 |
| 67.9 | Away PA | 75.5 |
| 473-505 | Opponent Record | 528-489 |
| 209.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 163.8 |
| W 5 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| L 2 | Current Streak | L 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
UC Davis
Troy
| Mar 19 | at Pepperdine (19-13) | L68-71 | Mar 19 | at Kansas (21-14) | L70-79 |
| Mar 13 | UC San Diego (23-9) | L79-84 | Mar 9 | James Madison (26-9) | L52-69 |
| Mar 12 | UC Riverside (9-21) | W70-59 | Mar 8 | Arkansas St (26-10) | W83-73 |
| Mar 7 | vs UC Irvine (26-7) | L58-70 | Feb 27 | at South Alabama (17-19) | L69-76 |
| Mar 5 | vs Long Beach St (4-25) | W59-56 | Feb 24 | at Arkansas St (26-10) | W61-54 |
| Feb 26 | at Hawaii (20-11) | L46-67 | Feb 21 | vs Southern Miss (13-16) | W97-80 |
| Feb 21 | vs UC Riverside (9-21) | W65-56 | Feb 18 | vs South Alabama (17-19) | W84-73 |
| Feb 19 | vs CS Fullerton (16-14) | W70-64 | Feb 14 | vs ULM (16-16) | W82-80 |
| Feb 14 | at Long Beach St (4-25) | W77-66 | Feb 12 | vs Louisiana (4-25) | W71-55 |
| Feb 12 | vs UC San Diego (23-9) | W88-80 | Feb 7 | at Ball St (25-7) | L86-87 |