Arkansas St at Troy Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Troy by 3.53
TOTAL POINTS
152
UPDATED
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
See this week's WCBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Arkansas St
Troy 
|
90
A-
|
Overall |
92
A-
|
|
90
A-
|
Power |
91
A-
|
|
93
A-
|
Offensive |
96
A
|
|
82
B-
|
Defensive |
75
C
|
|
|
SoS (Current) |
|
|
87
B+
|
SoS (Full Season) |
88
B+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Arkansas St
Troy
| 83 | Overall | 68 |
| 81 | Power | 74 |
| 61 | Offensive | 33 |
| 161 | Defensive | 225 |
| N/A | SoS (Current) | N/A |
| 110 | SoS (Full Season) | 102 |
Troy#6859%
Arkansas St#8341%Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Troy 59%, Arkansas St 41% at Troy.
Troy's win probability against Arkansas St has held at 46% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Troy's win probability against Arkansas St has held at 53% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Troy's win probability against Arkansas St has held at 59% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Troy favored
Arkansas St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Arkansas St | Neutral | At Troy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 51% | 57% | 64% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 48% | 54% | 61% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 48% | 55% | 61% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 49% | 55% | 62% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 49% | 55% | 62% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 47% | 54% | 60% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 46% | 53% | 59% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 46% | 53% | 59% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 46% | 53% | 59% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Arkansas St
Troy
|
0-3 (0%) |
Head to Head |
3-0 (100%) |
|
26-10 (72.2%) |
Overall |
24-8 (75%) |
|
14-3 (82.4%) |
Home |
12-1 (92.3%) |
|
9-6 (60%) |
Away |
9-6 (60%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
8-9 (47.1%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
12-6 (66.7%) |
|
18-1 (94.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-2 (85.7%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Arkansas St
Troy
| #49 James Madison | Best Win | #59 Marshall |
| #212 E Michigan | Worst Loss | #194 Southern Miss |
| 41 pts vs #311 Louisiana | Largest MOV | 45 pts vs #336 MS Valley St |
| 23 pts vs #144 Cent Arkansas | Largest MOD | 22 pts vs #57 Kansas St |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Arkansas St
Troy
| 75.8 | Points per Game | 79.8 |
| 66.8 | Points Against | 70.1 |
| 74.9 | Home PPG | 82.2 |
| 60.9 | Home PA | 63.5 |
| 76.7 | Away PPG | 78.1 |
| 73.2 | Away PA | 75.5 |
| 575-550 | Opponent Record | 528-489 |
| 167.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 163.8 |
| W 11 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Arkansas St
Troy
| Apr 1 | vs Marshall (27-9) | L62-69 | Mar 19 | at Kansas (21-14) | L70-79 |
| Mar 30 | vs Cleveland St (24-10) | W71-53 | Mar 9 | James Madison (26-9) | L52-69 |
| Mar 27 | vs PFW (20-14) | W83-72 | Mar 8 | Arkansas St (26-10) | W83-73 |
| Mar 23 | vs Radford (21-13) | W83-52 | Feb 27 | at South Alabama (17-19) | L69-76 |
| Mar 8 | Troy (24-8) | L73-83 | Feb 24 | at Arkansas St (26-10) | W61-54 |
| Mar 7 | ULM (16-16) | W76-68 | Feb 21 | vs Southern Miss (13-16) | W97-80 |
| Feb 27 | vs Texas St (9-19) | W87-53 | Feb 18 | vs South Alabama (17-19) | W84-73 |
| Feb 24 | vs Troy (24-8) | L54-61 | Feb 14 | vs ULM (16-16) | W82-80 |
| Feb 21 | at Louisiana (4-25) | W92-66 | Feb 12 | vs Louisiana (4-25) | W71-55 |
| Feb 18 | at Texas St (9-19) | W75-61 | Feb 7 | at Ball St (25-7) | L86-87 |