Alabama St at Troy Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Troy by 27.42
TOTAL POINTS
142
UPDATED
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
See this week's WCBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Alabama St
Troy 
|
74
C
|
Overall |
92
A-
|
|
65
D
|
Power |
91
A-
|
|
65
D
|
Offensive |
96
A
|
|
66
D
|
Defensive |
75
C
|
|
|
SoS (Current) |
|
|
62
D-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
88
B+
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Alabama St
Troy
| 231 | Overall | 68 |
| 317 | Power | 74 |
| 316 | Offensive | 33 |
| 303 | Defensive | 225 |
| N/A | SoS (Current) | N/A |
| 343 | SoS (Full Season) | 102 |
Troy#6896%
Alabama St#2314%Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Troy 96%, Alabama St 4% at Troy.
Troy's win probability against Alabama St is trending down — from 95% to 92% over the last 6 updates.
Troy's win probability against Alabama St has held at 94% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Troy's win probability against Alabama St has held at 96% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Troy favored
Alabama St favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Alabama St | Neutral | At Troy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 95% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 95% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 94% | 96% | 97% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 92% | 94% | 96% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Alabama St
Troy
|
0-0 (0%) |
Head to Head |
0-0 (0%) |
|
15-14 (51.7%) |
Overall |
24-8 (75%) |
|
6-3 (66.7%) |
Home |
12-1 (92.3%) |
|
7-9 (43.8%) |
Away |
9-6 (60%) |
|
0-3 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-1 (0%) |
|
2-10 (16.7%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
12-6 (66.7%) |
|
13-4 (76.5%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-2 (85.7%) |
|
7-3 (70%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Alabama St
Troy
| #180 Southern Univ | Best Win | #59 Marshall |
| #301 Jackson St | Worst Loss | #194 Southern Miss |
| 33 pts vs #336 MS Valley St | Largest MOV | 45 pts vs #336 MS Valley St |
| 68 pts vs #8 LSU | Largest MOD | 22 pts vs #57 Kansas St |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Alabama St
Troy
| 59.3 | Points per Game | 79.8 |
| 67.2 | Points Against | 70.1 |
| 65.1 | Home PPG | 82.2 |
| 62.2 | Home PA | 63.5 |
| 56.9 | Away PPG | 78.1 |
| 72.3 | Away PA | 75.5 |
| 394-489 | Opponent Record | 528-489 |
| 228.3 | Avg Opponent Rank | 163.8 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | W 6 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 2 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Alabama St
Troy
| Mar 14 | Southern Univ (18-14) | L56-73 | Mar 19 | at Kansas (21-14) | L70-79 |
| Mar 13 | Ark Pine Bluff (14-16) | W72-59 | Mar 9 | James Madison (26-9) | L52-69 |
| Mar 12 | Grambling (10-19) | W56-50 | Mar 8 | Arkansas St (26-10) | W83-73 |
| Mar 5 | vs Grambling (10-19) | L50-68 | Feb 27 | at South Alabama (17-19) | L69-76 |
| Mar 3 | vs Southern Univ (18-14) | W65-63 | Feb 24 | at Arkansas St (26-10) | W61-54 |
| Feb 28 | at Alabama A&M (19-11) | L43-51 | Feb 21 | vs Southern Miss (13-16) | W97-80 |
| Feb 21 | at Florida A&M (8-22) | W62-59 | Feb 18 | vs South Alabama (17-19) | W84-73 |
| Feb 19 | at Bethune-Cookman (5-25) | W61-60 | Feb 14 | vs ULM (16-16) | W82-80 |
| Feb 14 | vs Ark Pine Bluff (14-16) | W79-71 | Feb 12 | vs Louisiana (4-25) | W71-55 |
| Feb 12 | vs MS Valley St (8-23) | W86-70 | Feb 7 | at Ball St (25-7) | L86-87 |