Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Stony Brook 53%, Delaware 47% at Stony Brook.
Stony Brook's win probability against Delaware has held at 41% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Stony Brook's win probability against Delaware has held at 47% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Stony Brook's win probability against Delaware has held at 53% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.