Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: San Diego St 69%, St Mary's CA 31% at St Mary's CA.
San Diego St's win probability against St Mary's CA has held at 69% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
San Diego St's win probability against St Mary's CA has held at 75% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
San Diego St's win probability against St Mary's CA has held at 79% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.