Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Illinois St 56%, St Louis 44% at St Louis.
Illinois St's win probability against St Louis is trending down — from 59% to 56% over the last 6 updates.
Illinois St's win probability against St Louis has held at 63% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Illinois St's win probability against St Louis has held at 69% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.