Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: St Joseph's PA 85%, Fordham 15% at St Joseph's PA.
St Joseph's PA's win probability against Fordham has held at 77% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
St Joseph's PA's win probability against Fordham is trending down — from 84% to 81% over the last 6 updates.
St Joseph's PA's win probability against Fordham has held at 85% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.