Mississippi St at Southern Miss Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
Mississippi St by 15.69
TOTAL POINTS
149
UPDATED
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
See this week's WCBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
Southern Miss
Mississippi St 
|
78
C+
|
Overall |
92
A-
|
|
80
B-
|
Power |
95
A
|
|
90
A-
|
Offensive |
96
A
|
|
66
D
|
Defensive |
91
A-
|
|
|
SoS (Current) |
|
|
86
B
|
SoS (Full Season) |
96
A
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
Southern Miss
Mississippi St
| 194 | Overall | 63 |
| 178 | Power | 40 |
| 84 | Offensive | 32 |
| 309 | Defensive | 73 |
| N/A | SoS (Current) | N/A |
| 124 | SoS (Full Season) | 25 |
Mississippi St#6385%
Southern Miss#19415%Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Mississippi St 85%, Southern Miss 15% at Southern Miss.
Mississippi St's win probability against Southern Miss is trending down — from 88% to 85% over the last 6 updates.
Mississippi St's win probability against Southern Miss has held at 88% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Mississippi St's win probability against Southern Miss has held at 91% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Mississippi St favored
Southern Miss favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At Southern Miss | Neutral | At Mississippi St |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 89% | 91% | 93% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 87% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 88% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 87% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 88% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 88% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 88% | 90% | 93% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 87% | 90% | 93% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 85% | 88% | 91% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
Southern Miss
Mississippi St
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
13-16 (44.8%) |
Overall |
18-13 (58.1%) |
|
8-5 (61.5%) |
Home |
13-5 (72.2%) |
|
5-8 (38.5%) |
Away |
3-7 (30%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
1-7 (12.5%) |
|
3-11 (21.4%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
9-13 (40.9%) |
|
10-5 (66.7%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
9-0 (100%) |
|
4-6 (40%) |
Last 10 Games |
3-7 (30%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
Southern Miss
Mississippi St
| #68 Troy | Best Win | #18 Kentucky |
| #244 Appalachian St | Worst Loss | #77 Missouri |
| 33 pts vs #343 SE Louisiana | Largest MOV | 64 pts vs #336 MS Valley St |
| 54 pts vs #31 NC State | Largest MOD | 50 pts vs #3 Texas |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
Southern Miss
Mississippi St
| 72.4 | Points per Game | 74.8 |
| 75 | Points Against | 67.1 |
| 76.8 | Home PPG | 81.9 |
| 72.2 | Home PA | 63.4 |
| 69.3 | Away PPG | 64.3 |
| 73.9 | Away PA | 75.5 |
| 445-462 | Opponent Record | 578-428 |
| 175.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 113.7 |
| W 4 | Longest Streak | W 10 |
| L 1 | Current Streak | L 5 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
Southern Miss
Mississippi St
| Mar 5 | ULM (16-16) | L72-89 | Mar 4 | Florida (18-15) | L68-86 |
| Feb 27 | at ULM (16-16) | W68-61 | Mar 1 | vs #8 LSU (29-6) | L63-72 |
| Feb 25 | at South Alabama (17-19) | L43-57 | Feb 26 | at Texas A&M (14-13) | L64-68 |
| Feb 21 | at Troy (24-8) | L80-97 | Feb 22 | at #3 Texas (35-4) | L42-92 |
| Feb 18 | at Louisiana (4-25) | W83-61 | Feb 19 | vs Florida (18-15) | L56-71 |
| Feb 14 | vs Texas St (9-19) | W86-77 | Feb 16 | at Arkansas (12-20) | W75-66 |
| Feb 12 | vs ULM (16-16) | L62-85 | Feb 12 | vs Georgia (22-10) | W85-71 |
| Feb 7 | at Toledo (16-15) | L67-76 | Feb 5 | at #2 South Carolina (36-4) | L45-88 |
| Feb 4 | vs James Madison (26-9) | L72-83 | Feb 1 | vs Missouri (17-17) | L80-88 |
| Jan 30 | at Old Dominion (17-14) | W86-83 | Jan 29 | at Tennessee (16-14) | W77-62 |