Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Connecticut 51%, South Carolina 49% at a neutral site.
Connecticut's win probability against South Carolina has swung between 42% and 51% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 45% now.
Connecticut's win probability against South Carolina is trending down — from 56% to 51% over the last 6 updates.
Connecticut's win probability against South Carolina has swung between 55% and 64% over the last 6 updates, and sits at 58% now.