Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
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Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: Stanford 64%, Santa Clara 36% at Santa Clara.
Stanford's win probability against Santa Clara has held at 64% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
Stanford's win probability against Santa Clara is trending down — from 72% to 69% over the last 6 updates.
Stanford's win probability against Santa Clara has held at 75% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.