Fine-tune team strengths to model injuries, form, or what-if scenarios
Each run draws new ratings around the real ones. Higher variance means bigger swings.
St Mary's CA
Santa Clara
|
77
C+
|
Overall |
89
B+
|
|
81
B-
|
Power |
90
A-
|
|
71
C-
6099
|
Offensive |
96
A
6099
|
|
St Mary's CA
6099
Santa Clara
6099
|
||
|
91
A-
6099
|
Defensive |
71
C-
6099
|
|
St Mary's CA
6099
Santa Clara
6099
|
||
|
83
B-
|
SoS (Current) |
87
B+
|
|
83
B-
|
SoS (Future) |
87
B+
|
St Mary's CA
Santa Clara
| 207 | Overall | 91 |
| 166 | Power | 80 |
| 263 | Offensive | 32 |
| 75 | Defensive | 260 |
| 151 | SoS (Current) | 108 |
| 151 | SoS (Future) | 108 |
Wk 24 (Apr 7), 2025-26: Santa Clara 85%, St Mary's CA 15% at Santa Clara.
Santa Clara's win probability against St Mary's CA has held at 71% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Santa Clara's win probability against St Mary's CA has held at 78% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
Santa Clara's win probability against St Mary's CA has held at 85% over the last 6 weeks — this matchup has settled.
| Week | At St Mary's CA | Neutral | At Santa Clara |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre | 39% | 48% | 57% |
| Wk 1 | 20% | 27% | 35% |
| Wk 2 | 54% | 63% | 72% |
| Wk 3 | 69% | 76% | 83% |
| Wk 4 | 58% | 67% | 75% |
| Wk 5 | 61% | 69% | 77% |
| Wk 6 | 76% | 82% | 88% |
| Wk 7 | 75% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 8 | 79% | 85% | 90% |
| Wk 9 | 81% | 86% | 91% |
| Wk 10 | 75% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 11 | 75% | 82% | 87% |
| Wk 12 | 73% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 13 | 73% | 80% | 86% |
| Wk 14 | 76% | 83% | 88% |
| Wk 15 | 72% | 79% | 85% |
| Wk 16 | 74% | 81% | 86% |
| Wk 17 | 70% | 78% | 84% |
| Wk 18 | 71% | 78% | 84% |
| Wk 19 | 72% | 79% | 85% |
| Wk 20 | 71% | 78% | 84% |
| Wk 21 | 71% | 78% | 85% |
| Wk 22 | 71% | 79% | 85% |
| Wk 23 | 71% | 78% | 85% |
| Wk 24 | 71% | 78% | 85% |
St Mary's CA
Santa Clara
|
0-2 (0%) |
Head to Head |
2-0 (100%) |
|
13-17 (43.3%) |
Overall |
22-10 (68.8%) |
|
5-7 (41.7%) |
Home |
9-3 (75%) |
|
8-7 (53.3%) |
Away |
11-5 (68.8%) |
|
0-0 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
0-0 (0%) |
|
2-13 (13.3%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
10-9 (52.6%) |
|
11-4 (73.3%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
12-1 (92.3%) |
|
2-8 (20%) |
Last 10 Games |
6-4 (60%) |
St Mary's CA
Santa Clara
| #132 Pepperdine | Best Win | #51 San Diego St |
| #250 San Diego | Worst Loss | #209 Pacific |
| 27 pts vs #341 Seattle | Largest MOV | 34 pts vs #341 Seattle |
| 46 pts vs #28 USC | Largest MOD | 28 pts vs #64 Gonzaga |
St Mary's CA
Santa Clara
| 59.1 | Points per Game | 78 |
| 60.4 | Points Against | 69.9 |
| 62.5 | Home PPG | 79.4 |
| 60.8 | Home PA | 67.3 |
| 56.3 | Away PPG | 78.8 |
| 58.6 | Away PA | 71.3 |
| 425-524 | Opponent Record | 515-504 |
| 176.9 | Avg Opponent Rank | 159.5 |
| L 5 | Longest Streak | W 5 |
| L 5 | Current Streak | L 2 |
St Mary's CA
Santa Clara
| Mar 5 | San Diego (10-22) | L62-66 | Mar 19 | at California (21-15) | L68-72 |
| Feb 28 | at Washington St (9-25) | L50-57 | Mar 9 | Gonzaga (24-10) | L60-88 |
| Feb 26 | at Gonzaga (24-10) | L67-75 | Mar 8 | San Francisco (18-15) | W87-69 |
| Feb 21 | vs San Francisco (18-15) | L60-61 | Feb 28 | vs San Francisco (18-15) | W90-82 |
| Feb 19 | at Santa Clara (22-10) | L55-63 | Feb 26 | vs Pacific (10-19) | W87-79 |
| Feb 16 | vs Seattle (3-25) | W86-59 | Feb 21 | at Pepperdine (19-13) | L63-80 |
| Feb 12 | vs Pacific (10-19) | L53-56 | Feb 19 | vs St Mary's CA (13-17) | W63-55 |
| Feb 7 | at San Francisco (18-15) | W72-55 | Feb 14 | at Portland (18-15) | W77-66 |
| Feb 5 | vs Loy Marymount (20-10) | L69-75 | Feb 12 | at Oregon St (21-12) | W83-70 |
| Jan 29 | at Portland (18-15) | L42-68 | Feb 5 | at Pacific (10-19) | L82-90 |
vs
Women's College Basketball