North Carolina at SMU Game Prediction
PREDICTED
FINAL SCORE
POINT SPREAD
North Carolina by 26.83
TOTAL POINTS
133
UPDATED
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
See this week's WCBB predictions
PRESEASON RATINGS
SMU
North Carolina 
|
78
C+
|
Overall |
98
A+
|
|
78
C+
|
Power |
97
A+
|
|
82
B-
|
Offensive |
96
A
|
|
72
C-
|
Defensive |
98
A+
|
|
|
SoS (Current) |
|
|
90
A-
|
SoS (Full Season) |
93
A-
|
PRESEASON RANKINGS
SMU
North Carolina
| 197 | Overall | 14 |
| 198 | Power | 18 |
| 161 | Offensive | 29 |
| 247 | Defensive | 9 |
| N/A | SoS (Current) | N/A |
| 87 | SoS (Full Season) | 58 |
North Carolina#1495%
SMU#1975%Pre (Oct 28), 2026-27: North Carolina 95%, SMU 5% at SMU.
North Carolina's win probability against SMU has held at 95% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
North Carolina's win probability against SMU has held at 97% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
North Carolina's win probability against SMU has held at 97% over the last 6 updates — this matchup has settled.
North Carolina favored
SMU favored
Even, 50%
Drag across the chart
Week-by-week table
| Week | Season | At SMU | Neutral | At North Carolina |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 17 | 2025-26 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 18 | 2025-26 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 19 | 2025-26 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 20 | 2025-26 | 96% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 21 | 2025-26 | 97% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 22 | 2025-26 | 97% | 97% | 98% |
| Wk 23 | 2025-26 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Wk 24 | 2025-26 | 97% | 98% | 98% |
| Pre | 2026-27 | 95% | 97% | 97% |
2025-2026 RECORDS
SMU
North Carolina
|
0-1 (0%) |
Head to Head |
1-0 (100%) |
|
9-21 (30%) |
Overall |
28-8 (77.8%) |
|
6-10 (37.5%) |
Home |
15-2 (88.2%) |
|
2-10 (16.7%) |
Away |
8-3 (72.7%) |
|
0-5 (0%) |
Versus Top 25 |
2-7 (22.2%) |
|
2-15 (11.8%) |
Versus > .500 Teams |
15-8 (65.2%) |
|
7-6 (53.8%) |
Versus < .500 Teams |
13-0 (100%) |
|
1-9 (10%) |
Last 10 Games |
7-3 (70%) |
2025-2026 SUPERLATIVES
SMU
North Carolina
| #121 Arkansas | Best Win | #9 Duke |
| #260 Boston College | Worst Loss | #62 Stanford |
| 26 pts vs #298 Grambling | Largest MOV | 52 pts vs #197 SMU |
| 59 pts vs #9 Duke | Largest MOD | 23 pts vs #17 Notre Dame |
OTHER 2025-2026 STATISTICS
SMU
North Carolina
| 61.8 | Points per Game | 74.6 |
| 74.7 | Points Against | 59.1 |
| 65 | Home PPG | 78.1 |
| 68.9 | Home PA | 55.2 |
| 55.3 | Away PPG | 71.5 |
| 83.9 | Away PA | 60.2 |
| 513-464 | Opponent Record | 710-475 |
| 126.7 | Avg Opponent Rank | 113.5 |
| L 6 | Longest Streak | W 8 |
| L 4 | Current Streak | L 1 |
RECENT OPPONENTS
SMU
North Carolina
| Mar 1 | at California (21-15) | L34-78 | Mar 27 | #4 Connecticut (38-1) | L42-63 |
| Feb 26 | at Stanford (21-14) | L57-87 | Mar 22 | vs #19 Maryland (24-9) | W74-66 |
| Feb 22 | vs #17 Notre Dame (25-11) | L63-88 | Mar 20 | vs W Illinois (23-6) | W82-51 |
| Feb 19 | vs Boston College (5-26) | L59-77 | Mar 7 | #14 Louisville (29-8) | L57-65 |
| Feb 15 | vs Pittsburgh (8-22) | W79-78 | Mar 6 | Virginia Tech (23-10) | W85-68 |
| Feb 12 | at #15 North Carolina (28-8) | L42-94 | Mar 1 | vs #9 Duke (27-9) | W74-69 |
| Feb 8 | at #9 Duke (27-9) | L36-95 | Feb 26 | at Virginia (22-12) | W82-70 |
| Feb 5 | vs Wake Forest (14-18) | L65-70 | Feb 22 | vs Pittsburgh (8-22) | W78-50 |
| Jan 29 | at Clemson (21-12) | L54-83 | Feb 19 | at Virginia Tech (23-10) | W66-63 |
| Jan 25 | vs Miami FL (18-15) | L66-75 | Feb 15 | at #9 Duke (27-9) | L68-72 |